Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Fernandez J.
16'
16'
Musy A.
61'
61'
Cagigas M.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between Guarnizo and Torina finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
6%
30%
64%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Torina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Guarnizo come out ahead of Torina on wins alone.
- Model gives Torina a 64% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Guarnizo Clean Sheet 19%
Torina Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guarnizo | Torina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Torina
2:2
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Torina vs Guarnizo
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Torina
2:0
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Torina vs Guarnizo
1:1
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Torina vs Guarnizo
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guarnizo Compare
Top Goalscorer Musy A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cagigas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Torina Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernandez J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guarnizo 10 / 100
Torina 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guarnizo Torina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Torina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guarnizo scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Torina conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Guarnizo stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Guarnizo VS Torina
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Guarnizo
(Home) 20 Sept
UD Samano
4 : 1 Guarnizo
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1 Cayon CD
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1 Guarnizo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0 Guarnizo
17 May
Guarnizo
0 : 0 CD Tropezon
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1 Cayon CD
17 May
Guarnizo
0 : 0 CD Tropezon
03 May
Guarnizo
2 : 2 Torina
18 Apr
Guarnizo
4 : 1 SD Noja
02 Apr
Guarnizo
1 : 0 Cayon CD
Page 1 of 3
Torina
(Away) 20 Sept
Torina
3 : 0 CD Barquereno
13 Sept
Naval Reinosa
0 : 3 Torina
05 Sept
Torina
1 : 1 UM Escobedo
09 May
Torina
2 : 0 CD Revilla
03 May
Guarnizo
2 : 2 Torina
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Naval Reinosa
0 : 3 Torina
03 May
Guarnizo
2 : 2 Torina
18 Apr
Selaya
2 : 0 Torina
02 Apr
Bezana
3 : 0 Torina
15 Mar
SD Noja
0 : 1 Torina
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnastic de Torrelavega | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 86:15 | 83 |
| 2 | CD Laredo | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:28 | 71 |
| 3 | CD Tropezon | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 50:27 | 67 |
| 4 | Guarnizo | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 47:26 | 66 |
| 5 | UM Escobedo | 34 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 65:43 | 65 |
| 6 | Vimenor | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 47:36 | 59 |
| 7 | Atletico Albericia | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:45 | 56 |
| 8 | Cayon CD | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 50:41 | 56 |
| 9 | Torina | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 39:40 | 53 |
| 10 | Bezana | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:38 | 47 |
| 11 | Castro | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 44:47 | 38 |
| 12 | Selaya | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32:44 | 32 |
| 13 | CD Revilla | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 35:63 | 31 |
| 14 | CD Barquereno | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 37:64 | 30 |
| 15 | UC Cartes | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 28:52 | 28 |
| 16 | CD Colindres | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:47 | 28 |
| 17 | CD Montanas del Pas | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 35:87 | 26 |
| 18 | SD Noja | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22:68 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
