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Guarulhos vs Fernandopolis

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fernandopolis in this Paulista A4 2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fernandopolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Guarulhos
20%
Draws
10%
Fernandopolis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guarulhos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Fernandopolis haven't matched Guarulhos's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Guarulhos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Fernandopolis here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Guarulhos Clean Sheet 16%
Fernandopolis Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarulhos Fernandopolis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 4 2
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1.3 1
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2019 Paulista A4
Guarulhos vs Fernandopolis
1:2
Aug 25, 2019 Paulista A4
Fernandopolis vs Guarulhos
1:1
Aug 24, 2011 Paulista A4
Fernandopolis vs Guarulhos
2:0
Aug 10, 2011 Paulista A4
Guarulhos vs Fernandopolis
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarulhos 84 / 100
Fernandopolis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarulhos Fernandopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarulhos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fernandopolis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Guarulhos scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Guarulhos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guarulhos VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarulhos

(Home)
20 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 2
Paulinense
13 Jun
Votoraty SP
4 : 2
Guarulhos
05 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 0
Paulinia FU
31 May
Guarulhos
1 : 0
Flamengo SP
24 May
Audax-SP
2 : 2
Guarulhos
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Fernandopolis

(Away)
22 Jun
Fernandopolis
3 : 4
Olimpia FC
15 Jun
Tupa
2 : 0
Fernandopolis
09 Jun
Fernandopolis
0 : 4
Inter de Bebedouro
02 Jun
Fernandopolis
0 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
25 May
Tanabi
4 : 1
Fernandopolis
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Francana 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
2 Marilia 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
3 Catanduva FC 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
4 Tupa 6 2 0 4 7:11 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fernandopolis 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
2 Sao Jose EC 6 2 3 1 10:7 9
3 Guarulhos 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
4 Catanduvense 6 0 1 5 3:14 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 6 3 2 1 9:7 11
2 Rio Branco SP 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
3 Itapirense 6 1 4 1 10:8 7
4 Maua FC 6 1 2 3 10:13 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paulista 6 3 2 1 10:6 11
2 Assisense 6 3 1 2 5:6 10
3 Independente SP 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Amparo SP 6 1 1 4 8:11 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Play Offs)