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Guatemala vs Nicaragua

World World

Friendly International 2024 PayPal Park, San Jose, CA
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Rubin R.
Assist: Castellanos O.
22'
Nino H.
35'
Morales J.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Guatemala and Nicaragua finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Guatemala
15%
Draws
49%
Nicaragua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nicaragua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Nicaragua carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Nicaragua are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Guatemala Clean Sheet 19%
Nicaragua Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guatemala Nicaragua
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2024 Friendly International
Guatemala vs Nicaragua
1:1
Nov 20, 2022 Friendly International
Guatemala vs Nicaragua
3:1
Sep 8, 2021 Friendly International
Guatemala vs Nicaragua
2:2
Feb 24, 2021 Friendly International
Guatemala vs Nicaragua
1:0
Oct 7, 2020 Friendly International
Nicaragua vs Guatemala
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guatemala Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubin R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Nicaragua Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guatemala 24 / 100
Nicaragua 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guatemala Nicaragua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nicaragua Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guatemala scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Nicaragua's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Difficult form: Nicaragua registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guatemala VS Nicaragua
1 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guatemala

(Home)
07 Jun
Ecuador
3 : 0
Guatemala
05 Jun
Czech Republic
3 : 1
Guatemala
27 Mar
Algeria
7 : 0
Guatemala
18 Jan
Canada
1 : 0
Guatemala
19 Nov
Guatemala
3 : 1
Suriname
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Nicaragua

(Away)
05 Jun
Paraguay
4 : 0
Nicaragua
29 May
South Africa
0 : 0
Nicaragua
27 Mar
Russia
3 : 1
Nicaragua
19 Nov
Haiti
2 : 0
Nicaragua
14 Nov
Nicaragua
2 : 0
Honduras
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