Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guatemala vs Panama

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup Q2 Stadium, Austin, TX
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Rodriguez T.
39'
Robles S.
40'
Santis O.

AI Match Summary

Panama in this Gold Cup tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Guatemala
22%
Draws
60%
Panama
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Panama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Panama have won more games recently than Guatemala.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Panama taking it.
  • Panama arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Panama, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Guatemala Clean Sheet 10%
Panama Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guatemala Panama
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.88 2
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2025 World Championship
Guatemala vs Panama
2:3
Sep 9, 2025 World Championship
Panama vs Guatemala
1:1
Jun 21, 2025 Gold Cup
Guatemala vs Panama
0:1
Oct 18, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Panama vs Guatemala
3:0
Sep 11, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Guatemala vs Panama
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guatemala Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Panama Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guatemala 18 / 100
Panama 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guatemala Panama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guatemala scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Panama's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Panama has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guatemala VS Panama
0.88 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guatemala

(Home)
07 Jun
Ecuador
3 : 0
Guatemala
05 Jun
Czech Republic
3 : 1
Guatemala
27 Mar
Algeria
7 : 0
Guatemala
18 Jan
Canada
1 : 0
Guatemala
19 Nov
Guatemala
3 : 1
Suriname
Page 1 of 6

Panama

(Away)
27 Jun
Panama
0 : 2
England
23 Jun
Panama
0 : 1
Croatia
17 Jun
Ghana
1 : 0
Panama
06 Jun
Panama
1 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
04 Jun
Panama
4 : 2
Dominican Republic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mexico32105:27
2Costa Rica32106:47
3Dominican Republic30123:51
4Suriname30123:61
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canada32109:17
2Honduras32014:76
3Curacao30212:32
4El Salvador30120:41
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Panama330010:39
2Guatemala32014:36
3Jamaica31023:63
4Guadeloupe30035:100
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1USA33008:19
2Saudi Arabia31112:24
3Trinidad & Tobago30212:72
4Haiti30122:41
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)