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Guatemala W vs Bermuda W

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship Women Estadio Cementos Progreso, Guatemala City
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Monterroso M.
Assist: Martinez A.
15' Event
Polanco D.
61' Event
Monterroso M.
Assist: Contreras B.

AI Match Summary

Guatemala W in this CONCACAF Championship Women matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guatemala W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Guatemala W
15%
Draws
42%
Bermuda W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guatemala W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Bermuda W have won more games recently than Guatemala W.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Guatemala W taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Guatemala W Clean Sheet 68%
Bermuda W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guatemala W Bermuda W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 3 3
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 2.31 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.51 2.03
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 2, 2025 CONCACAF Championship Women
Guatemala W vs Bermuda W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guatemala W Compare

Top Goalscorer Monterroso M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Polanco D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.16
Avg xA / game 0.76

Bermuda W Compare

Top Goalscorer Frazzoni E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.85
Avg xA / game 1.13

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guatemala W 95 / 100
Bermuda W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guatemala W Bermuda W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guatemala W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Guatemala W scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Bermuda W has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Guatemala W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guatemala W VS Bermuda W
0.88 Goals Scored 2.43
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.14
63% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Guatemala W

(Home)
09 Jun
Guatemala W
1 : 5
El Salvador W
19 Apr
Costa Rica W
3 : 0
Guatemala W
07 Mar
Cayman Islands W
0 : 13
Guatemala W
01 Mar
Guatemala W
6 : 0
Grenada W
02 Dec
Guatemala W
4 : 1
Bermuda W
Page 1 of 7

Bermuda W

(Away)
07 Jun
Bermuda W
1 : 0
Belize W
04 Jun
Bermuda W
4 : 0
Belize W
18 Apr
Bermuda W
5 : 3
Grenada W
03 Mar
Bermuda W
0 : 8
Costa Rica W
02 Dec
Guatemala W
4 : 1
Bermuda W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico W 4 4 0 0 36:0 12
2 Puerto Rico W 4 3 0 1 26:6 9
3 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines W 4 2 0 2 2:24 6
4 United States Virgin Islands W 4 1 0 3 3:20 3
5 Saint Lucia W 4 0 0 4 1:18 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamaica W 4 4 0 0 27:2 12
2 Nicaragua W 4 3 0 1 23:4 9
3 Guyana W 4 2 0 2 8:5 6
4 Antigua and Barbuda W 4 0 1 3 1:13 1
5 Dominica W 4 0 1 3 1:36 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica W 4 4 0 0 34:1 12
2 Guatemala W 4 3 0 1 23:4 9
3 Bermuda W 4 2 0 2 10:15 6
4 Grenada W 4 1 0 3 7:14 3
5 Cayman Islands W 4 0 0 4 1:41 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti W 4 3 1 0 17:1 10
2 Dominican Republic W 4 2 2 0 17:4 8
3 Belize W 4 2 0 2 5:15 6
4 Suriname W 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
5 Anguilla W 4 0 0 4 1:18 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama W 4 4 0 0 15:2 12
2 Cuba W 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
3 Aruba W 4 2 0 2 9:6 6
4 Curacao W 4 1 0 3 4:16 3
5 Saint Kitts and Nevis W 4 0 1 3 4:9 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador W 3 3 0 0 18:0 9
2 Trinidad & Tobago W 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
3 Honduras W 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
4 Barbados W 3 0 0 3 0:22 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)