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Guingamp W vs Nantes W

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 Stade Centre Formation EAG 1, Pabu
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-6, with Nantes W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Guingamp W
15%
Draws
85%
Nantes W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nantes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Nantes W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nantes W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Nantes W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nantes W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nantes W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Guingamp W Clean Sheet 10%
Nantes W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guingamp W Nantes W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 23 9
Goals Scored 0.77 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.28 1.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Guingamp W vs Nantes W
1:6
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Guingamp W vs Nantes W
1:1
Jan 8, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Nantes W vs Guingamp W
2:1
Oct 5, 2024 Premiere Ligue Women
Guingamp W vs Nantes W
0:1
Sep 14, 2024 Club Friendly Women
Guingamp W vs Nantes W
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guingamp W 10 / 100
Nantes W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guingamp W Nantes W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nantes W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Guingamp W's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nantes W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Nantes W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guingamp W VS Nantes W
0.57 Goals Scored 1.13
2.57 Goals Conceded 2
86% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guingamp W

(Home)
15 Aug
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Guingamp W
24 May
Guingamp W
1 : 3
Auxerre W
17 May
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Guingamp W
02 May
Guingamp W
2 : 3
Grenoble W
26 Apr
Lille W
4 : 0
Guingamp W
Page 1 of 6

Nantes W

(Away)
18 Sept
PSG W
1 : 0
Nantes W
12 Sept
Nantes W
1 : 1
Fleury 91 W
06 Sept
Paris FC W
2 : 0
Nantes W
29 Aug
Le Havre W
0 : 2
Nantes W
22 Aug
Nantes W
1 : 2
Saint-Malo W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon W 4 4 0 0 15:2 12
2 Metz W 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
3 Strasbourg W 4 2 0 2 4:9 6
4 Auxerre W 4 1 0 3 9:9 3
5 Reims W 4 0 0 4 1:15 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thonon Evian W 3 3 0 0 4:2 8
2 Nice W 3 1 0 2 5:2 4
3 St Etienne W 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 7:4 8
2 Montpellier W 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toulouse W 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
4 Rodez AF W 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lens W 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Fleury 91 W 3 2 0 1 10:4 6
3 Le Mans W 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 Lille W 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nantes W 3 3 0 0 9:3 8
2 Le Havre W 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Saint-Malo W 3 1 0 2 6:5 4
4 Guingamp W 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)