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Guingamp W vs Toulouse W

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 Stade Centre Formation EAG 1, Pabu
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Lapassouse L.
45' Event
Lapassouse L.
49' Event
Altunkulak S.

AI Match Summary

Toulouse W in this Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toulouse W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Guingamp W
15%
Draws
85%
Toulouse W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toulouse W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Toulouse W have won more games recently than Guingamp W.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Guingamp W Clean Sheet 10%
Toulouse W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guingamp W Toulouse W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 17
Draws 4 5
Losses 23 9
Goals Scored 0.77 2.1
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 2.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Guingamp W vs Toulouse W
1:4
Oct 4, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Guingamp W
3:0
Apr 7, 2013 Premiere Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Guingamp W
1:2
Nov 17, 2012 Premiere Ligue Women
Guingamp W vs Toulouse W
3:0
Apr 24, 2011 Premiere Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Guingamp W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guingamp W Compare

Top Goalscorer Donnary A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48

Toulouse W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lapassouse L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Altunkulak S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.52
Avg xA / game 1.54

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guingamp W 34 / 100
Toulouse W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guingamp W Toulouse W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toulouse W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guingamp W scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Toulouse W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Toulouse W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guingamp W VS Toulouse W
0.67 Goals Scored 2.88
2.67 Goals Conceded 1.25
83% Over 1.5 88%
83% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Guingamp W

(Home)
15 Aug
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Guingamp W
24 May
Guingamp W
1 : 3
Auxerre W
17 May
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Guingamp W
02 May
Guingamp W
2 : 3
Grenoble W
26 Apr
Lille W
4 : 0
Guingamp W
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Toulouse W

(Away)
19 Sept
Lens W
2 : 2
Toulouse W
12 Sept
Toulouse W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
05 Sept
Montpellier W
5 : 1
Toulouse W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Toulouse W
22 Aug
Marseille W
3 : 0
Toulouse W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)