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Stadium Background

Gumushanespor vs Arguvan

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Polat E. C.

AI Match Summary

Gumushanespor in this 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gumushanespor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Gumushanespor
15%
Draws
64%
Arguvan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arguvan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Arguvan have won more games recently than Gumushanespor.
  • Model gives Gumushanespor a 21% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Gumushanespor Clean Sheet 20%
Arguvan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gumushanespor Arguvan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 5
Draws 11 3
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 0.83 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Gumushanespor vs Arguvan
1:0
Oct 28, 2023 3. Lig Group 1
Arguvan vs Gumushanespor
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gumushanespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Polat E. C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Arguvan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gumushanespor 67 / 100
Arguvan 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gumushanespor Arguvan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gumushanespor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arguvan let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Gumushanespor scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Arguvan has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Gumushanespor VS Arguvan
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gumushanespor

(Home)
27 Apr
Gumushanespor
2 : 4
Kepez Bld.
21 Apr
Kirikkale FK
3 : 1
Gumushanespor
14 Apr
Gumushanespor
1 : 1
Aliaga
03 Apr
Ayvalikgucu
4 : 3
Gumushanespor
24 Mar
Gumushanespor
2 : 3
Mardin 1969
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Arguvan

(Away)
27 Apr
Arguvan
3 : 4
Erciyes 38
21 Apr
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
2 : 5
Arguvan
14 Apr
Arguvan
1 : 5
Inegol Kafkas
07 Apr
Edirnespor Genclik
2 : 1
Arguvan
03 Apr
Arguvan
2 : 4
Kepez Bld.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kepez Bld. 28 22 4 2 67:18 70
2 Aliaga 28 19 9 0 60:18 66
3 Ayvalikgucu 28 15 7 6 40:25 52
4 52 Orduspor 28 14 7 7 40:28 49
5 Inegol Kafkas 28 13 8 7 37:30 47
6 Edirnespor Genclik 28 13 5 10 45:28 44
7 Mardin 1969 28 12 5 11 40:34 41
8 Kucukcekmece 28 10 8 10 41:31 38
9 Karabuk Idmanyurdu 28 10 5 13 27:44 35
10 Hopaspor 28 9 7 12 33:29 34
11 Erciyes 38 28 10 4 14 34:45 34
12 Kirikkale FK 28 8 5 15 31:42 29
13 Gumushanespor 28 4 10 14 25:49 22
14 Arguvan 28 3 4 21 21:57 13
15 Tarsus 28 2 4 22 20:83 10
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)