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Gutierrez Mendoza vs Sportivo Estudiantes

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal 2025 Estadio General Gutierrez
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Sub
Carabali A. In: Lazaneo J.
Out: Carabali A.
35'
Sub
Sosa E. In: Sarmiento T.
Out: Sosa E.
42'
Esteves I.

AI Match Summary

Sportivo Estudiantes in this Torneo Federal 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sportivo Estudiantes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Gutierrez Mendoza
6%
Draws
90%
Sportivo Estudiantes
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sportivo Estudiantes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sportivo Estudiantes have won more games recently than Gutierrez Mendoza.
  • Win probability leans Sportivo Estudiantes's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Gutierrez Mendoza Clean Sheet 17%
Sportivo Estudiantes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gutierrez Mendoza Sportivo Estudiantes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 7
Draws 4 10
Losses 24 13
Goals Scored 0.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sportivo Estudiantes vs Gutierrez Mendoza
2:1
Jun 28, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sportivo Estudiantes vs Gutierrez Mendoza
3:1
Apr 26, 2025 Torneo Federal
Gutierrez Mendoza vs Sportivo Estudiantes
1:3
Jun 8, 2024 Torneo Federal
Sportivo Estudiantes vs Gutierrez Mendoza
1:1
Apr 14, 2024 Torneo Federal
Gutierrez Mendoza vs Sportivo Estudiantes
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gutierrez Mendoza Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Sportivo Estudiantes Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarmiento T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Masuero A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gutierrez Mendoza 10 / 100
Sportivo Estudiantes 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gutierrez Mendoza Sportivo Estudiantes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportivo Estudiantes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Gutierrez Mendoza scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Sportivo Estudiantes's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gutierrez Mendoza VS Sportivo Estudiantes
0.38 Goals Scored 0.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cipolletti18131431:1340
2Villa Mitre18105322:935
3Olimpo Bahia Blanca1875619:1526
4Deportivo Rincon1882822:2026
5Kimberley1875617:1326
6Circulo Deportivo1872917:2123
7Guillermo Brown1863919:2921
8Santamarina1848618:2220
9Sol de Mayo1845916:2717
10Germinal18441016:2816
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Bolivar1694324:931
2Costa Brava1686217:730
3Biblioteca Atenas1681717:1425
4Argentino MM1665515:1623
5San Martin Mendoza1663719:1921
6Huracan Las Heras1663715:2021
7Juventud U.U.1648414:1320
8Sportivo Estudiantes1646613:1418
9Gutierrez Mendoza16221212:348
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Chivilcoy1879217:1430
2Douglas Haig1878318:1229
3Sportivo Belgrano1876519:1227
4Independiente Chivilcoy1868416:1326
59 de Julio Rafaela1874720:2025
6Sportivo Las Parejas1857620:1922
7Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo184869:1420
8Gimnasia E.R.1855814:2020
9El Linqueno1847716:2019
10Ben Hur1846815:2018
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sarmiento de La Banda16102421:1132
2San Martin Formosa1687129:931
3Atl. Rafaela1675419:1526
4Juventud Antoniana1665519:1523
5Bartolome Mitre1656515:1421
6Sol de America1655621:1920
7Sarmiento Resistencia1646612:2218
8Boca Unidos1626816:2712
9Crucero del Norte16241010:3010