Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guzide Gebzespor vs Soma Spor

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guzide Gebzespor play Soma Spor in the 2. Lig Red Group. Guzide Gebzespor are favorites here. Recently, Guzide Gebzespor averaged 1.52 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Soma Spor averaged 1.3 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Guzide Gebzespor won 4, Soma Spor won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 10, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Guzide Gebzespor and 1.38 for Soma Spor. This points to a Guzide Gebzespor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Guzide Gebzespor
16%
Draws
28%
Soma Spor
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Guzide Gebzespor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Guzide Gebzespor picked up more points recently compared to Soma Spor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Guzide Gebzespor Clean Sheet 17%
Soma Spor Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guzide Gebzespor Soma Spor
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.52 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.9 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Guzide Gebzespor vs Soma Spor
0:1
Aug 24, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Soma Spor vs Guzide Gebzespor
1:2
Mar 2, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Soma Spor vs Guzide Gebzespor
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 2. Lig Red Group
Guzide Gebzespor vs Soma Spor
1:0
Apr 21, 2024 2. Lig Red Group
Guzide Gebzespor vs Soma Spor
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guzide Gebzespor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Soma Spor Compare

Top Goalscorer Pektas O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guzide Gebzespor 54 / 100
Soma Spor 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guzide Gebzespor Soma Spor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guzide Gebzespor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Guzide Gebzespor & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Guzide Gebzespor attacking → ← attacking Soma Spor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guzide Gebzespor scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Soma Spor let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Guzide Gebzespor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Soma Spor lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 29
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bursaspor34255487:1980
2Mardin 196934225767:2571
3Musspor34217682:3570
4Aliaga34216781:3269
5K. Istklalspor34214982:3367
6Isparta 32 Spor34189770:3663
7Guzide Gebzespor341610856:3158
8Menemenspor341561357:5151
9Ankara Demirspor341471347:4749
10Aksaray Bld.341114952:3847
11Trabzon FK341381354:5147
12Arnavutkoy Bl.341371440:3646
13Fethiyespor3411111252:4144
14Kirklarelispor34991644:4936
15Soma Spor34862041:6830
16Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu33432622:9712
17Adanaspor AS33213014:1591
18Yeni Malatyaspor3402328:114-52