Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gwangju FC vs Jeju SK

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 2025 Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Yu Je-Ho
24'
Lee Chang-Min
33'
Sub
Kim Jun-ha In: Kim Seung-Sub
Out: Kim Jun-ha

AI Match Summary

The K League 1 2025 game between Gwangju FC and Jeju SK finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gwangju FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gwangju FC
39%
Draws
30%
Jeju SK
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Jeju SK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular K League 1 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Gwangju FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 19%
Jeju SK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gwangju FC Jeju SK
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Gwangju FC
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Jeju SK
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Gwangju FC
0:1
Jun 18, 2025 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Gwangju FC
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Jeju SK
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gwangju FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Shin Chang-Moo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fridjonsson H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Jeju SK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwangju FC 32 / 100
Jeju SK 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gwangju FC Jeju SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JEJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jeju SK has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Gwangju FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Gwangju FC scored in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Gwangju FC VS Jeju SK
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gwangju FC

(Home)
22 Jul
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Gimcheon Sangmu
19 Jul
Anyang
1 : 1
Gwangju FC
11 Jul
Gwangju FC
0 : 3
Pohang
05 Jul
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Ulsan Hyundai
16 May
Incheon
4 : 0
Gwangju FC
Page 1 of 6

Jeju SK

(Away)
21 Jul
Jeju SK
1 : 1
Gangwon
18 Jul
Jeju SK
2 : 1
Pohang
12 Jul
Jeju SK
0 : 0
Daejeon
05 Jul
Gimcheon Sangmu
1 : 1
Jeju SK
17 May
Jeju SK
1 : 2
Anyang
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gwangju FC381591440:4154
2Anyang381471749:4749
3Ulsan Hyundai3811111642:5044
4Suwon FC381191851:5842
5Jeju SK381091940:5339
6Daegu387131847:6734
Relegation - K League 1 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - K League 2 (Main)