Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gwangju FC vs Jeonbuk

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Gwangju Football Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gwangju FC play Jeonbuk in the K League 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gwangju FC averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. Jeonbuk averaged 1.42 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Gwangju FC won 0, Jeonbuk won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 5, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.56 for Gwangju FC and 2.19 for Jeonbuk. This points to a Jeonbuk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Gwangju FC
25%
Draws
49%
Jeonbuk
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Jeonbuk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Gwangju FC picked up more points recently compared to Jeonbuk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.56 vs 2.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 10%
Jeonbuk Clean Sheet 22%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gwangju FC Jeonbuk
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 10
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.83 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.79 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 K League 1
Jeonbuk vs Gwangju FC
4:0
Mar 14, 2026 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Jeonbuk
0:0
Dec 6, 2025 Korean Cup
Gwangju FC vs Jeonbuk
1:2
Jul 26, 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Jeonbuk
1:2
May 11, 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Jeonbuk
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwangju FC 25 / 100
Jeonbuk 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gwangju FC Jeonbuk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jeonbuk or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gwangju FC attacking → ← attacking Jeonbuk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gwangju FC scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Jeonbuk let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Gwangju FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Jeonbuk lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 52
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Seoul16112328:1235
2Ulsan Hyundai1683523:2127
3Gangwon1676321:1127
4Jeonbuk1675422:1426
5Pohang1674515:1425
6Incheon1663721:1821
7Anyang1648421:1920
8Jeju SK1654714:1719
9Bucheon FC 19951646613:1718
10Daejeon1645719:1817
11Gimcheon Sangmu1629516:2215
12Gwangju FC1615108:388