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Gwelup Croatia SC vs Cockburn City

Australia Australia

WA State League Croatian Sports Centre
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AI Match Summary

Gwelup Croatia SC play Cockburn City in the WA State League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gwelup Croatia SC averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Cockburn City averaged 1.72 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. In past meetings, Gwelup Croatia SC won 2, Cockburn City won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 6, 2026 ended 4:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Gwelup Croatia SC and 1.88 for Cockburn City. This points to a Cockburn City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Gwelup Croatia SC
21%
Draws
42%
Cockburn City
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Cockburn City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Gwelup Croatia SC picked up more points recently compared to Cockburn City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70%
Gwelup Croatia SC Clean Sheet 10%
Cockburn City Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gwelup Croatia SC Cockburn City
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.47 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Cockburn City
4:4
Aug 24, 2024 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Cockburn City
1:3
Jun 8, 2024 WA State League
Cockburn City vs Gwelup Croatia SC
1:2
Jun 18, 2022 NPL Western Australia
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Cockburn City
0:1
May 25, 2022 NPL Western Australia
Cockburn City vs Gwelup Croatia SC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gwelup Croatia SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mba J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stocks C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Cockburn City Compare

Top Goalscorer Bowen M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rankin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwelup Croatia SC 35 / 100
Cockburn City 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gwelup Croatia SC Cockburn City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cockburn City or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gwelup Croatia SC attacking → ← attacking Cockburn City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gwelup Croatia SC scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Cockburn City let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Gwelup Croatia SC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cockburn City lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 37
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Floreat Athena16113238:1636
2UWA Nedlands16112338:1935
3Mandurah City1692538:2829
4Joondalup City1691628:2328
5Kingsley Westside1681726:2225
6Inglewood Utd1673614:1724
7Quinns1663721:3121
8Cockburn City1654728:3319
9Gwelup Croatia SC1646623:3118
10Murdoch University Melville1637626:3116
11Subiaco16311226:3910
12Curtin University16231111:279