Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gzira vs Hamrun

Malta Malta

Premier League 2025/2026 Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Attard S. In: Robert J.
Out: Attard S.
64'
Bonilla J.
68'
Sub
Bonilla J. In: Farrugia D.
Out: Bonilla J.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Gzira and Hamrun finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Gzira
33%
Draws
40%
Hamrun
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Hamrun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Gzira carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Hamrun a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Gzira Clean Sheet 16%
Hamrun Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gzira Hamrun
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Premier League
Hamrun vs Gzira
0:1
Feb 3, 2026 Premier League
Gzira vs Hamrun
0:0
Sep 20, 2025 Premier League
Hamrun vs Gzira
0:0
Mar 2, 2025 Premier League
Hamrun vs Gzira
0:1
Nov 7, 2024 Premier League
Gzira vs Hamrun
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gzira 28 / 100
Hamrun 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gzira Hamrun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gzira found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Hamrun's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Hamrun has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Gzira VS Hamrun
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gzira

(Home)
17 Jul
Balzan FC
1 : 0
Gzira
23 May
Valletta
2 : 1
Gzira
30 Apr
Gzira
0 : 1
Floriana
26 Apr
Gzira
0 : 0
Naxxar Lions
19 Apr
Marsaxlokk
2 : 1
Gzira
Page 1 of 6

Hamrun

(Away)
16 Jul
Hamrun
1 : 2
NSI Runavik
09 Jul
NSI Runavik
1 : 1
Hamrun
15 May
Valletta
0 : 2
Hamrun
09 May
Marsaxlokk
2 : 1
Hamrun
02 May
Valletta
2 : 1
Hamrun
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Floriana1174020:725
2Hamrun1164116:422
3Marsaxlokk1154212:1219
4Naxxar Lions1153320:1818
5Valletta1145216:717
6Gzira1152414:1217
7Sliema1144310:1116
8Birkirkara1134412:1213
9Hibernians1132611:1711
10Zabbar1124513:1510
11Tarxien111379:216
12Mosta FC111197:244
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Second stage - Top 6)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Second stage - Play Out)