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Haiti U17 W vs Costa Rica U17 W

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship Women U17 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Haiti U17 W play Costa Rica U17 W in the CONCACAF Championship Women U17 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Haiti U17 W averaged 2.43 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Costa Rica U17 W averaged 3.43 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Haiti U17 W won 1, Costa Rica U17 W won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 31, 2025 ended 0:8. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Haiti U17 W and 4.00 for Costa Rica U17 W. This points to a Costa Rica U17 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Haiti U17 W
15%
Draws
45%
Costa Rica U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Costa Rica U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Haiti U17 W picked up more points recently compared to Costa Rica U17 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 4.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Haiti U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Costa Rica U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haiti U17 W Costa Rica U17 W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 16
Draws 1 3
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 2.43 3.43
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 6.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2025 World Cup Women U17
Haiti U17 W vs Costa Rica U17 W
0:8
Feb 1, 2024 CONCACAF Championship Women U17
Haiti U17 W vs Costa Rica U17 W
2:1
Apr 23, 2020 CONCACAF Championship Women U17
Haiti U17 W vs Costa Rica U17 W
0:0
Mar 13, 2010 CONCACAF Championship Women U17
Costa Rica U17 W vs Haiti U17 W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Haiti U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Etienne L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Costa Rica U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ocampo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 5.45
Avg xA / game 3.33

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haiti U17 W 38 / 100
Costa Rica U17 W 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haiti U17 W Costa Rica U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Costa Rica U17 W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Haiti U17 W attacking → ← attacking Costa Rica U17 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Haiti U17 W scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Costa Rica U17 W let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Haiti U17 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Costa Rica U17 W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 51
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 6.00
3.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mexico U17 W33008:09
2Haiti U17 W32017:86
3Costa Rica U17 W30123:51
4El Salvador U17 W30125:101
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1USA U17 W330021:19
2Canada U17 W320110:66
3Panama U17 W31025:203
4Puerto Rico U17 W30033:120