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Halcones de Zapopan vs Calor De San Pedro

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
82' Event
Lozano A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A game between Halcones de Zapopan and Calor De San Pedro finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Halcones de Zapopan
30%
Draws
34%
Calor De San Pedro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Halcones de Zapopan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Halcones de Zapopan and Calor De San Pedro close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Halcones de Zapopan are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Halcones de Zapopan Clean Sheet 20%
Calor De San Pedro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Halcones de Zapopan Calor De San Pedro
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Halcones de Zapopan vs Calor De San Pedro
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Calor De San Pedro vs Halcones de Zapopan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Halcones de Zapopan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Calor De San Pedro Compare

Top Goalscorer Lozano A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Halcones de Zapopan 36 / 100
Calor De San Pedro 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Halcones de Zapopan Calor De San Pedro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Halcones de Zapopan found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Calor De San Pedro conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Halcones de Zapopan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Halcones de Zapopan VS Calor De San Pedro
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Halcones de Zapopan

(Home)
03 May
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 1
Halcones de Zapopan
29 Apr
Halcones de Zapopan
0 : 0
Alacranes de Durango
25 Apr
Racing de Veracruz
0 : 2
Halcones de Zapopan
22 Apr
Halcones de Zapopan
0 : 0
Racing de Veracruz
19 Apr
Tigres de Alica
2 : 1
Halcones de Zapopan
Page 1 of 7

Calor De San Pedro

(Away)
18 Apr
Deportiva Venados
2 : 1
Calor De San Pedro
16 Apr
Calor De San Pedro
0 : 1
Deportiva Venados
12 Apr
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 1
Lobos ULMX
04 Apr
Calor De San Pedro
2 : 0
Gavilanes de Matamoros
29 Mar
Apodaca
1 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alacranes de Durango26212371:1674
2Tigres de Alica26173646:2556
3Cimarrones de Sonora26157446:1954
4Leones Negros 226162842:2653
5Tecos26144849:3449
6Tritones Vallarta261511032:2746
7Mineros de Fresnillo261141140:4139
8Los Cabos United261131237:4037
9Guerreros de Autlan26851338:4232
10UA Zacatecas26841432:4929
11Ensenada FC26821630:5528
12Reboceros de La Piedad26711839:6623
13Zapotlanejo26611939:7321
14Colima FC26431924:5217
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Apodaca26212347:1966
2FC Santiago26147543:2151
3Zacatepec26128629:1545
4Halcones de Zapopan26116944:2744
5Calor De San Pedro26127737:2644
6Gavilanes de Matamoros26125931:2244
7Lobos ULMX26116933:2840
8Correcaminos 226971027:2536
9Chilpancingo2698933:4135
10Cordobes FC26861229:3030
11Zitacuaro266101022:3128
12CS Canamy26581333:5326
13Ciervos26441820:5018
14Atletico Hidalgo26441822:6216
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Racing de Veracruz24213055:971
2Deportiva Venados24154561:2552
3Tapachula241301151:3544
4Celaya24124842:3243
5Inter Playa Del Carmen24134735:2842
6Montaneses241221035:2838
7Pioneros241031135:3535
8Jaguares De Chiapas24941133:3234
9Heroes de Zaci241021233:4634
10Chapulineros24581121:3323
11Canoneros FC24711625:4922
12Neza FC24521725:7319
13Dragones Toluca24431721:4717
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)