Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Halifax vs Southend

England England

National League 2025/2026 The Shay, Halifax
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Coker O.
Assist: Bridge J.
19' Event
Harris W.
Assist: Johnson C.
31' Event
Dallas A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Southend in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Southend.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Halifax
33%
Draws
40%
Southend
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Southend

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Southend lately — more wins on the board than Halifax.
  • Model gives Southend a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Southend have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Halifax Clean Sheet 10%
Southend Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Halifax Southend
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.25 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 National League
Halifax vs Southend
2:6
Sep 6, 2025 National League
Southend vs Halifax
3:0
Feb 11, 2025 National League
Southend vs Halifax
3:1
Nov 30, 2024 National League
Halifax vs Southend
0:2
Jan 6, 2024 National League
Southend vs Halifax
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Halifax Compare

Top Goalscorer Harris W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morris K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Southend Compare

Top Goalscorer Coker O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cardwell H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Halifax 26 / 100
Southend 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Halifax Southend

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Halifax found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Southend has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Southend lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Halifax VS Southend
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Halifax

(Home)
14 Jul
Halifax
3 : 2
Chesterfield
11 Jul
Halifax
1 : 6
Bradford City
04 Jul
Halifax
1 : 3
Sheffield Utd
25 Apr
Woking
0 : 1
Halifax
18 Apr
Halifax
2 : 6
Southend
Page 1 of 6

Southend

(Away)
14 Jul
Southend
1 : 2
Cambridge Utd
17 May
Southend
1 : 0
Wealdstone
28 Apr
Scunthorpe
1 : 0
Southend
25 Apr
Southend
2 : 1
Wealdstone
21 Apr
Hartlepool
4 : 3
Southend
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1York City463394114:41108
2Rochdale46337688:41106
3Carlisle46298987:5195
4Boreham Wood462791095:5890
5Scunthorpe4623131077:6282
6Southend4623121183:4781
7Forest Green4623121182:5281
8Halifax4620101669:6670
9Hartlepool4618141454:5968
10Woking4616151569:5463
11Tamworth4617111863:7162
12Boston United4615141763:6759
13Altrincham461762355:6557
14Solihull Moors4614141871:7256
15Wealdstone4615112067:7456
16Yeovil461562548:6851
17Eastleigh4613112257:8050
18Gateshead461482454:9050
19Sutton4611142159:7947
20Aldershot461372669:8746
21Brackley4610122440:7542
22Morecambe469112666:10338
23Braintree468122638:7636
24Truro468102842:7234
Promotion - League Two (Main)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)