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Hamburger vs Lille

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Hamburger and Lille finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Hamburger
15%
Draws
53%
Lille
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lille

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Lille carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Lille's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Hamburger Clean Sheet 10%
Lille Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamburger Lille
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.33 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Hamburger vs Lille
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamburger 10 / 100
Lille 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamburger Lille

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lille Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Hamburger scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Lille has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Hamburger remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hamburger VS Lille
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamburger

(Home)
19 Sept
Hamburger
2 : 1
1. FC Koln
13 Sept
RB Leipzig
5 : 0
Hamburger
06 Sept
Hamburger
0 : 5
Mainz
29 Aug
Dortmund
2 : 0
Hamburger
24 Aug
Verl
0 : 3
Hamburger
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Lille

(Away)
13 Sept
Lille
2 : 0
Troyes
08 Sept
Lille
2 : 3
Betis
03 Sept
Toulouse
0 : 1
Lille
28 Aug
Lille
2 : 2
PSG
23 Aug
Angers
0 : 2
Lille
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