Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup ZLX Stadium

Hamilton

Sat, Jul 18, 2026

2 - 1

02:00 PM

Raith

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Rowe J.

26'

Vaughan L.

(Penalty)

32'

Blues C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The League Cup game between Hamilton and Raith finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hamilton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Hamilton

33%

Draws

27%

Raith

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Hamilton carry the better recent record into this one.
Hamilton are the model's pick here, at 40%.
Cup games in League Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

Hamilton Clean Sheet 68%

Raith Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hamilton	Raith
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	14	12
Draws	6	6
Losses	8	11
Goals Scored	2	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.38	1
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 League Cup

Hamilton vs Raith

Possession: 46% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly

Raith vs Hamilton

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

2:2

Dec 9, 2025 Challenge Cup

Raith vs Hamilton

Possession: 56% - 51% Cards: 2 - 0

5:2

Mar 29, 2025 Championship

Hamilton vs Raith

Possession: 57% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

0:3

Feb 22, 2025 Championship

Raith vs Hamilton

Possession: 54% - 51% Cards: 4 - 3

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer Blues C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Raith Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamilton 50 / 100

Raith 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hamilton Raith

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAM Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 5:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamilton's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Hamilton stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Raith has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hamilton VS Raith

2 Goals Scored 1.63

1.38 Goals Conceded 1

88% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Queen's Park	3	2	1	6:3	6
2	Aberdeen	2	2	0	4:1	6
3	Queen of the South	2	1	1	4:1	4
4	Kelty Hearts	2	1	1	1:3	2
5	Brora Rangers	3	0	3	1:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Dundee Utd	3	2	1	4:1	6
2	Montrose	2	2	0	3:0	6
3	Stirling	3	1	2	3:4	3
4	Arbroath	2	1	1	2:4	3
5	Spartans	2	0	2	2:5	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	St. Mirren	2	2	0	8:0	6
2	East Kilbride	3	2	1	10:6	6
3	Dunfermline	2	1	1	4:4	3
4	Cove Rangers	2	1	1	3:6	3
5	Dumbarton	3	0	3	4:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Dundee FC	2	2	0	9:2	6
2	Ross County	2	2	0	7:2	6
3	Airdrieonians	3	1	2	5:5	3
4	Clyde	2	1	1	2:3	3
5	Annan	3	0	3	1:12	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Partick	3	3	0	11:1	8
2	Stenhousemuir	2	2	0	4:1	6
3	Livingston	2	1	1	3:1	4
4	Forfar Athletic	2	0	2	0:6	0
5	Brechin	3	0	3	1:10	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	St Johnstone	2	2	0	5:0	6
2	Inverness	2	2	0	3:1	5
3	East Fife	2	1	1	3:1	4
4	Linlithgow Rose	3	1	2	1:4	3
5	Morton	3	0	3	0:6	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Ayr	3	3	0	6:2	9
2	Falkirk	2	1	1	5:1	3
3	Edinburgh City	3	1	2	2:7	3
4	Alloa	2	1	1	2:4	2
5	Stranraer	2	0	2	4:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Raith	3	1	2	4:2	5
2	Hamilton	2	2	0	2:1	5
3	Kilmarnock	2	2	0	1:0	5
4	Peterhead	2	1	1	3:2	3
5	Elgin City	3	0	3	2:7	0