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Stadium Background

Hammarby vs Malmo FF

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan 3Arena, Stockholm
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Djuric A.
13' Event
Besara N.
(Penalty)
29' Event
Besara N.
Assist: Abraham P.

AI Match Summary

Hammarby in this Allsvenskan matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hammarby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Hammarby
28%
Draws
22%
Malmo FF
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Hammarby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hammarby lately — more wins on the board than Malmo FF.
  • Hammarby are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Hammarby Clean Sheet 13%
Malmo FF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hammarby Malmo FF
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Malmo FF
4:1
Oct 27, 2025 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Hammarby
1:3
Apr 23, 2025 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Malmo FF
2:0
Nov 2, 2024 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Malmo FF
2:2
Apr 7, 2024 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Hammarby
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hammarby Compare

Top Goalscorer Besara N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lind V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Malmo FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Busuladzic K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hammarby 48 / 100
Malmo FF 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hammarby Malmo FF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hammarby scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Hammarby stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Malmo FF has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hammarby VS Malmo FF
2.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Hammarby

(Home)
26 Jul
Brommapojkarna
1 : 1
Hammarby
23 Jul
Hammarby
1 : 1
Anderlecht
19 Jul
Hammarby
4 : 0
Degerfors
12 Jul
Hammarby
2 : 0
Kalmar
05 Jul
Elfsborg
1 : 2
Hammarby
Page 1 of 6

Malmo FF

(Away)
26 Jul
Malmo FF
1 : 2
Elfsborg
20 Jul
Kalmar
2 : 2
Malmo FF
12 Jul
Malmo FF
4 : 0
IFK Goteborg
04 Jul
Degerfors
0 : 1
Malmo FF
26 Jun
Malmo FF
2 : 2
Midtjylland
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sirius14122040:1738
2Hammarby1583433:1527
3Hacken1466227:2224
4Djurgarden1372427:1523
5Vasteras SK1464424:2322
6AIK1464418:1822
7Elfsborg1556420:1821
8Malmo FF1462628:2420
9GAIS1555519:1520
10Mjallby1445520:1917
11Kalmar1452718:2017
12Brommapojkarna1445519:2217
13IFK Goteborg1434717:3313
14Degerfors1424812:2410
15Orgryte1424814:3310
16Halmstad1414911:297
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)