Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hammarby W vs Malmo FF W

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Women Hammarby IP, Stockholm
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Rehnberg S.
53'
Carlsson A.
58' Event
Arnardottir G.
Assist: Hasund V.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan Women game between Hammarby W and Malmo FF W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hammarby W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Hammarby W
15%
Draws
44%
Malmo FF W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malmo FF W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Malmo FF W haven't matched Hammarby W's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Hammarby W Clean Sheet 15%
Malmo FF W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hammarby W Malmo FF W
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 19 15
Draws 2 7
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 2.3 2.07
Goals Conceded 0.7 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Allsvenskan Women
Malmo FF W vs Hammarby W
1:1
May 20, 2026 Allsvenskan Women
Hammarby W vs Malmo FF W
2:1
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Malmo FF W vs Hammarby W
2:0
Sep 6, 2025 Allsvenskan Women
Hammarby W vs Malmo FF W
2:1
Apr 26, 2025 Allsvenskan Women
Malmo FF W vs Hammarby W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hammarby W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rehnberg S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arnardottir G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Malmo FF W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanovic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hammarby W 30 / 100
Malmo FF W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hammarby W Malmo FF W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hammarby W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hammarby W found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (27 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Hammarby W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Malmo FF W let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hammarby W VS Malmo FF W
3 Goals Scored 2.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hammarby W

(Home)
19 Sept
AIK W
2 : 1
Hammarby W
13 Sept
Vaxjo DFF W
0 : 3
Hammarby W
09 Sept
Hammarby W
5 : 0
Gamla Upsala W
05 Sept
Hammarby W
2 : 0
Norrkoping W
29 Aug
Hammarby W
3 : 1
Vittsjo W
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Malmo FF W

(Away)
18 Sept
Malmo FF W
3 : 0
Djurgarden W
12 Sept
Malmo FF W
1 : 0
Eskilstuna United W
06 Sept
Hacken W
1 : 1
Malmo FF W
01 Sept
Trelleborg W
0 : 4
Malmo FF W
29 Aug
Vaxjo DFF W
0 : 4
Malmo FF W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hacken W 19 17 1 1 55:13 52
2 Hammarby W 19 15 2 2 46:10 47
3 Malmo FF W 19 10 6 3 38:11 36
4 AIK W 19 9 4 6 26:27 31
5 Kristianstad W 18 8 4 6 30:27 28
6 Eskilstuna United W 19 8 3 8 18:22 27
7 Vittsjo W 19 7 5 7 24:25 26
8 IF Brommapojkarna W 19 8 2 9 25:33 26
9 Pitea W 18 6 4 8 21:26 22
10 Djurgarden W 19 5 3 11 21:32 18
11 Vaxjo DFF W 19 5 3 11 23:37 18
12 Rosengard W 18 4 5 9 19:23 17
13 Norrkoping W 18 2 7 9 15:28 13
14 IK Uppsala Fotboll W 19 1 3 15 13:60 6
Relegation - Allsvenskan Women (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Elitettan Women 2027 (Main)