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Stadium Background

Haninge vs Karlslund

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand Torvalla idrottsplats, Haninge
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Dibba P.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Svealand game between Haninge and Karlslund finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Haninge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Haninge
15%
Draws
53%
Karlslund
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karlslund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Haninge carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Karlslund a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Svealand form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Haninge Clean Sheet 10%
Karlslund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haninge Karlslund
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 2.14 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Karlslund vs Haninge
3:0
May 16, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Haninge vs Karlslund
1:0
Aug 5, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Haninge vs Karlslund
4:1
Apr 2, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Karlslund vs Haninge
3:1
Nov 29, 2020 Division 1 - Norra
Haninge vs Karlslund
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Haninge Compare

Top Goalscorer Dibba P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Karlslund Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haninge 22 / 100
Karlslund 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haninge Karlslund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlslund Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Haninge's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Karlslund has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Haninge stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Haninge VS Karlslund
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Haninge

(Home)
20 Sept
Eker Orebro
4 : 5
Haninge
14 Sept
Haninge
0 : 2
Syrianska
10 Sept
Haninge
1 : 7
Djurgarden
04 Sept
Ragsved
2 : 1
Haninge
30 Aug
Haninge
6 : 1
Lindo FF
Page 1 of 6

Karlslund

(Away)
19 Sept
Farsta
0 : 3
Karlslund
12 Sept
Karlslund
0 : 3
Orebro Syrianska
05 Sept
Eker Orebro
3 : 3
Karlslund
30 Aug
Karlslund
3 : 1
Syrianska
22 Aug
Lindo FF
0 : 1
Karlslund
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sleipner 21 13 4 4 47:32 43
2 Farsta 22 13 3 6 47:25 42
3 Forward 22 13 3 6 42:26 42
4 Nykopings 22 12 3 7 37:22 39
5 Haninge 21 11 3 7 49:38 36
6 Smedby 22 10 5 7 39:30 35
7 Ragsved 22 10 5 7 40:34 35
8 Fittja IF 22 10 3 9 35:34 33
9 Karlslund 22 7 6 9 31:35 27
10 Orebro Syrianska 22 8 2 12 23:25 26
11 Nacka FC 22 6 3 13 23:40 21
12 Syrianska 21 5 5 11 30:48 20
13 Lindo FF 22 5 2 15 27:43 17
14 Eker Orebro 21 4 3 14 22:60 15
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Relegation)