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Haninge vs Karlslund

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand Torvalla idrottsplats
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Dibba P.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Svealand game between Haninge and Karlslund finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Haninge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Haninge
6%
Draws
4%
Karlslund
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Haninge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Haninge carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Haninge a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Svealand form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Haninge Clean Sheet 17%
Karlslund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haninge Karlslund
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 2 4
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 3.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Haninge vs Karlslund
1:0
Aug 5, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Haninge vs Karlslund
4:1
Apr 2, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Karlslund vs Haninge
3:1
Nov 29, 2020 Division 1 - Norra
Haninge vs Karlslund
3:1
Jul 5, 2020 Division 1 - Norra
Karlslund vs Haninge
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Haninge Compare

Top Goalscorer Dibba P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Karlslund Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haninge 84 / 100
Karlslund 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haninge Karlslund

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlslund let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Haninge has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Haninge's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Haninge VS Karlslund
3.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nykopings1492327:1229
2Forward1492329:1829
3Haninge1491436:2628
4Farsta1481530:1725
5Sleipner1474326:2625
6Smedby1472529:2123
7Ragsved1464430:2322
8Fittja IF1462627:2720
9Orebro Syrianska1451816:1616
10Lindo FF1451821:2316
11Eker Orebro1442817:3614
12Karlslund1434715:2313
13Syrianska1433820:3512
14Nacka FC14211113:337