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Hanley Town vs Sheffield FC

England England

FA Trophy 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hanley Town play Sheffield FC in the FA Trophy 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hanley Town averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. Sheffield FC averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.96 conceded. In past meetings, Hanley Town won 1, Sheffield FC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 23, 2023 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Hanley Town and 1.38 for Sheffield FC. This points to a Hanley Town double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Hanley Town
15%
Draws
32%
Sheffield FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hanley Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Hanley Town picked up more points recently compared to Sheffield FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Hanley Town Clean Sheet 17%
Sheffield FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hanley Town Sheffield FC
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 2
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.31 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2023 FA Trophy
Hanley Town vs Sheffield FC
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hanley Town 51 / 100
Sheffield FC 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hanley Town Sheffield FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hanley Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Hanley Town & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hanley Town attacking → ← attacking Sheffield FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hanley Town scored in 69% of their last 26 games.

Sheffield FC let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Hanley Town went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sheffield FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 29
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00