Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Dhamsha R.
(Penalty)
65' Event
Soleimani O.
70' Event
Agbaria I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Alef North matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
20%
Draws
38%
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hapoel Bnei Musmus lately — more wins on the board than Tzeirey Um El Fahem.
  • Hapoel Bnei Musmus are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Hapoel Bnei Musmus Clean Sheet 20%
Tzeirey Um El Fahem Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Bnei Musmus Tzeirey Um El Fahem
Matches Played 19 21
Wins 9 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 0.25 0.38
Goals Conceded 0 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Liga Alef North
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0:0
Jan 6, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
2:2
Apr 25, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0:0
Jan 25, 2025 Liga Alef North
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Bnei Musmus Compare

Top Goalscorer Soleimani O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agbaria I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Tzeirey Um El Fahem Compare

Top Goalscorer Dhamsha R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Bnei Musmus 42 / 100
Tzeirey Um El Fahem 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Bnei Musmus Tzeirey Um El Fahem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hapoel Bnei Musmus scored in 84% of their last 19 outings.

Defensive concern: Tzeirey Um El Fahem conceded in 71% of 21 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Hapoel Bnei Musmus has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Bnei Musmus VS Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0.25 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
13% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

(Home)
21 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 2
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
12 Feb
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
1 : 2
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
06 Feb
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0 : 1
Beit Shean
30 Jan
Hapoel Karmiel
2 : 3
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
24 Jan
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
2 : 1
FC Tzeirey Tamra
Page 1 of 4

Tzeirey Um El Fahem

(Away)
27 Feb
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 2
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
20 Feb
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
1 : 2
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
13 Feb
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 0
Ironi Baka
06 Feb
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
3 : 1
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
30 Jan
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
3 : 0
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1M. Nazareth21153344:1748
2MS Tira22133642:2342
3Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik22108435:2138
4Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad22106634:2936
5Hapoel Karmiel2296730:2333
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus2196628:2833
7Beit Shean2288628:2732
8Ironi Baka2294933:3031
9Tzeirey Um El Fahem2286829:2530
10Ironi Nesher2285928:3729
11FC Tzeirey Tamra22731232:4724
12Hapoel Ironi Arraba22561130:3921
13Hapoel Migdal HaEmek2287729:2317
14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad21451216:3617
15Hapoel Tirat Karmel21331516:4212
16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm22651130:3711
17Tzeirei Kafr Kanna00000:00
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)