Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Haifa vs Shmona

Israel Israel

Toto Cup Sammy Ofer Stadium, Haifa
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Ugarriza A.
33' Event
Rotman L.
35'
Sabag N.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hapoel Haifa
30%
Draws
23%
Shmona
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hapoel Haifa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shmona lately — more wins on the board than Hapoel Haifa.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Hapoel Haifa taking it.
  • Shmona arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Shmona, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Hapoel Haifa Clean Sheet 16%
Shmona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Haifa Shmona
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 12 4
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Toto Cup
Hapoel Haifa vs Shmona
1:3
Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Hapoel Haifa vs Shmona
0:0
May 3, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs Hapoel Haifa
2:0
Jan 19, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs Hapoel Haifa
3:1
Oct 4, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Haifa vs Shmona
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Haifa Compare

Top Goalscorer Rotman L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Shmona Compare

Top Goalscorer Sheratzky A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sabah S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Haifa 84 / 100
Shmona 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Haifa Shmona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Haifa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Haifa scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Shmona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Hapoel Haifa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Haifa VS Shmona
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Haifa

(Home)
19 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
2 : 1
Hapoel Haifa
14 Sept
Hapoel Haifa
3 : 1
Sakhnin
07 Sept
Netanya
1 : 1
Hapoel Haifa
02 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
2 : 2
Hapoel Haifa
30 Aug
Hapoel Haifa
0 : 0
Hapoel Tel Aviv
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Shmona

(Away)
19 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 0
Shmona
14 Sept
Shmona
0 : 4
Maccabi Haifa
05 Sept
Hapoel Jerusalem
4 : 2
Shmona
29 Aug
Shmona
2 : 0
Ironi Tiberias
22 Aug
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 1
Shmona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shmona 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
2 Hapoel Haifa 4 3 0 1 9:7 9
3 Maccabi Haifa 4 2 0 2 7:8 6
4 Ironi Tiberias 4 1 0 3 5:9 3
5 Sakhnin 4 0 0 4 2:6 0
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netanya 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
2 Hapoel Ramat Gan 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
3 Hapoel Jerusalem 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
4 Maccabi Petah Tikva 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
5 Hapoel Petah Tikva 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)