Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Tirat Karmel

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek host Hapoel Tirat Karmel in the Liga Alef North. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Hapoel Tirat Karmel have shipped 0.13 goals a game lately, while Hapoel Migdal HaEmek have conceded 0 and scored 0.63. Past meetings favor Hapoel Migdal HaEmek slightly — 2-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.38 vs 1.05, favoring Hapoel Migdal HaEmek. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
20%
Draws
38%
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Migdal HaEmek have won more games recently than Hapoel Tirat Karmel.
  • Hapoel Migdal HaEmek are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hapoel Migdal HaEmek have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Tirat Karmel Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Hapoel Tirat Karmel
Matches Played 20 21
Wins 8 3
Draws 5 3
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 0 0.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Tirat Karmel
0:0
Dec 19, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Tirat Karmel vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
0:4
Apr 24, 2022 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Tirat Karmel
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 42 / 100
Hapoel Tirat Karmel 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Hapoel Tirat Karmel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Tirat Karmel let in goals in 90% of their last 21 matches.

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek VS Hapoel Tirat Karmel
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 0.13
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

(Home)
27 Feb
FC Tzeirey Tamra
0 : 2
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
19 Feb
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
3 : 0
Ironi Nesher
13 Feb
M. Nazareth
4 : 2
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
06 Feb
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
3 : 1
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
31 Jan
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
0 : 0
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
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Hapoel Tirat Karmel

(Away)
19 Feb
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
0 : 1
Beit Shean
13 Feb
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 1
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
06 Feb
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
0 : 2
FC Tzeirey Tamra
30 Jan
Ironi Nesher
1 : 1
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
23 Jan
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
1 : 2
M. Nazareth
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1M. Nazareth21153344:1748
2MS Tira22133642:2342
3Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik22108435:2138
4Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad22106634:2936
5Hapoel Karmiel2296730:2333
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus2196628:2833
7Beit Shean2288628:2732
8Ironi Baka2294933:3031
9Tzeirey Um El Fahem2286829:2530
10Ironi Nesher2285928:3729
11FC Tzeirey Tamra22731232:4724
12Hapoel Ironi Arraba22561130:3921
13Hapoel Migdal HaEmek2287729:2317
14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad21451216:3617
15Hapoel Tirat Karmel21331516:4212
16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm22651130:3711
17Tzeirei Kafr Kanna00000:00
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)