Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Fri, Mar 27, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm host Hapoel Migdal HaEmek in the Liga Alef North. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm at 0 goals for, 0.25 against; Hapoel Migdal HaEmek at 0.25 for, 0 against. Head-to-head, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have won 3 to Hapoel Migdal HaEmek's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 27, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Hapoel Migdal HaEmek to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
20%
Draws
38%
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hapoel Migdal HaEmek come out ahead of Hapoel Umm al-Fahm on wins alone.
  • Hapoel Umm al-Fahm are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Liga Alef North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
Matches Played 20 20
Wins 7 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 0 0.25
Goals Conceded 0.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
0:0
Dec 14, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1:3
Dec 15, 2020 State Cup
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0:1
Mar 19, 2019 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
3:0
Nov 16, 2018 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 42 / 100
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm scored in 70% of their last 20 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek conceded in 55% of 20 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm VS Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
13% Over 1.5 13%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

(Home)
26 Feb
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
0 : 0
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
21 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 2
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
12 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 3
Beit Shean
05 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1 : 0
Hapoel Karmiel
30 Jan
FC Tzeirey Tamra
2 : 4
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Page 1 of 4

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

(Away)
27 Feb
FC Tzeirey Tamra
0 : 2
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
19 Feb
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
3 : 0
Ironi Nesher
13 Feb
M. Nazareth
4 : 2
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
06 Feb
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
3 : 1
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
31 Jan
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
0 : 0
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1M. Nazareth21153344:1748
2MS Tira22133642:2342
3Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik22108435:2138
4Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad22106634:2936
5Hapoel Karmiel2296730:2333
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus2196628:2833
7Beit Shean2288628:2732
8Ironi Baka2294933:3031
9Tzeirey Um El Fahem2286829:2530
10Ironi Nesher2285928:3729
11FC Tzeirey Tamra22731232:4724
12Hapoel Ironi Arraba22561130:3921
13Hapoel Migdal HaEmek2287729:2317
14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad21451216:3617
15Hapoel Tirat Karmel21331516:4212
16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm22651130:3711
17Tzeirei Kafr Kanna00000:00
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)