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Harefield United vs Maldon & Tiptree Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

FA Cup 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Harefield United advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Harefield United
15%
Draws
0%
Maldon & Tiptree
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harefield United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maldon & Tiptree come out ahead of Harefield United on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Harefield United taking it.
  • Maldon & Tiptree arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Harefield United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Harefield United Clean Sheet 19%
Maldon & Tiptree Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harefield United Maldon & Tiptree
Matches Played 13 29
Wins 4 10
Draws 2 1
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2009 FA Cup
Harefield United vs Maldon & Tiptree
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harefield United 85 / 100
Maldon & Tiptree 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harefield United Maldon & Tiptree

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harefield United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Maldon & Tiptree registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Harefield United's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 13 recent games.

Defensive concern: Maldon & Tiptree conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Maldon & Tiptree
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Harefield United

(Home)
14 Sept
Hastings
1 : 0
Harefield United
03 Sept
Lewes
0 : 1
Harefield United
31 Aug
Harefield United
1 : 1
Lewes
04 Sept
Harefield United
0 : 4
Hastings
03 Sept
Kempston
3 : 2
Harefield United
Page 1 of 3

Maldon & Tiptree

(Away)
03 Oct
Burgess Hill
4 : 1
Maldon & Tiptree
29 Sept
Maldon & Tiptree
1 : 5
Cray Wanderers
26 Sept
Maldon & Tiptree
0 : 2
Egham Town
22 Sept
Brentwood
5 : 1
Maldon & Tiptree
19 Sept
Maldon & Tiptree
2 : 3
Carshalton
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Hinckley -
TBD -
St Ives Town 1
Kirkley & Pakefield 2
Northampton Spencer 2
Godmanchester Rovers 1
Daventry 0
Cambridge City 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Histon -
Nuneaton 5
Brigg Town 0
Glapwell 0
Carlton Town 1
Market Drayton 2
Leamington 0
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Guiseley 2
Whitley Bay 0
Maine Road 1
Bamber Bridge 4
Ossett Town 1
Morpeth 0
FC Guisborough Town 1
Kendal 9
Halifax 4
Ancients 0
TBD -
Droylsden -
Horden 5
Durham 3
Hallam 0
Burscough 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alfreton -
TBD -
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Wulfrunians 3
Spennymoor 6
Ryton & Crawcrook 0
TBD -
Southport -
Workington -
TBD -
St Helens Town 1
Cammell Laird 3
Warrington Town 1
Nantwich 0
Woodley 0
Radcliffe 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rushden -
Mansfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Buxton 2
Winterton Rangers 1
Rossendale United 1
AFC Fylde 4
Harrogate -
TBD -
Bishop Auckland 1
Bradford PA 4
Hucknall 4
Blackstones 2
Dudley Sports 0
Rugby 6
Evesham 2
Tividale 1
Bromsgrove Rovers (inactive) 2
Stourbridge 4
Blyth Spartans -
TBD -
Newcastle Blue Star -
Ossett Albion -
Hyde -
TBD -
Marine 1
Salford 2
Worcester -
TBD -
Boston Town 1
Bourne 3
Hereford Pegasus 4
Hednesford 1
TBD -
Telford -
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) -
TBD -
Long Buckby 4
Mildenhall 5
Corby -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastwood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
Lincoln Utd. 3
Retford United 2
Garforth 0
Roofing 1
FC Congleton Town 6
Atherton Rovers 1
Worksop 2
Frickley 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambridge Utd -
Kettering -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Quorn 0
Mickleover 2
Stratford 1
Cradley Town 0
TBD -
Redditch -
Northwich Victoria -
TBD -
Barton Town 0
Bardon Hill Sports 5
Ashton United 3
Lancaster 0
Glossop North End 2
Chorley 3
Stalybridge -
TBD -
Clitheroe 0
Stocksbridge 2
North Ferriby United 2
Harrogate Railway 0
Sheffield FC 1
United of Manchester 3
Barrow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester City -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vauxhall -
TBD -
Bridlington Town 0
Whitby 1
Farsley -
TBD -
TBD -
Fleetwood Town -
York City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coventry Sphinx 1
Rushall 0
TBD -
Stafford -
Rainworth 2
Holbrook 1
Causeway United 0
Bedworth United 3
Hendon 2
Marlow 0
Bognor Regis 1
Kingstonian 4
Badshot Lea 6
Lingfield 5
Crawley Down Gatwick 2
Ashford Town 3
Maidstone 2
Bedfont Sports 1
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Harefield United 3
Hythe 2
Faversham 1
TBD -
Woking -
Gloucester City -
TBD -
Molesey 2
Bashley 3
Hungerford 4
Bristol Manor Farm 0
TBD -
Dorchester -
Sutton Coldfield Town 6
Westfields 0
Sudbury 0
Needham Market 2
Boston United 4
Loughborough Dynamo 2
Dereham 1
Lowestoft 3
Farnborough 2
Hastings 1
Thamesmead 1
Windsor & Eton 2
St. Albans -
TBD -
Stanway Rovers 1
Heybridge 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salisbury -
Mangotsfield 3
Wantage 0
Saltash United 10
Gillingham Town 12
Maidenhead -
TBD -
Bridport 1
Truro 8
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Crawley Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon -
Oxford City 4
Kidlington 2
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Sholing 1
Abingdon 3
Highworth 0
North Leigh 1
Cirencester 2
Bedford 5
London Tigers 1
Castle Vale 1
Romulus 2
Matlock 3
Sleaford Town 2
King’s Lynn 0
Bury Town 2
Bromley -
TBD -
Royston Town 1
Flackwell Heath 2
Horsham FC -
Tooting & Mitcham -
Metropolitan Police 0
Tonbridge 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Chelmsford -
TBD -
Halstead Town 4
Enfield FC 5
Worthing FC 1
Croydon Athletic 0
Chipstead 1
Dartford 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stevenage -
Aylesbury Vale 5
Erith Town 4
Northwood 2
Wingate & Finchley 6
Billericay 3
Hornchurch 0
Harrow Borough 1
Chesham 3
Lewes -
TBD -
Ashford United 0
Leatherhead 2
Boreham Wood 1
Walthamstow FC 0
Arlesey 1
Wealdstone 2
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
Guildford City 6
East Preston 7
East Thurrock Utd 4
Ware 1
TBD -
Welling -
Basingstoke -
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine 0
Brackley 1
Witney Utd 5
Shortwood 4
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Hayes & Yeading -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Walton Casuals 4
Chatham 2
Deal Town 1
Selsey 4
Sittingbourne 1
Folkestone 0
TBD -
Staines -
Luton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grays -
Oxford Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potters 4
Aylesbury United 0
Carshalton 1
Whitstable Town 2
Stortford -
TBD -
TBD -
Thurrock -
Bath City -
TBD -
Poole Town 0
Willand Rovers 1
Weymouth -
TBD -
Brockenhurst 2
Bishops Cleeve 5
Bridgwater United 3
Hamworthy United 1
Brading Town 1
Hallen 4
Almondsbury Town 4
Yate 2
VCD Athletic 0
AFC Totton 5
Paulton Rovers 1
Tiverton 0
Shrivenham 0
Didcot 5
Clevedon 4
Wimborne 2
TBD -
Newport -
Havant & Waterlooville -
TBD -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare -
Merthyr Tydfil 3
Taunton Town 0
Banbury 2
Chippenham Town 3
Tooting & Mitcham 4
Horsham FC 2
Hitchin 3
Canvey Island 4
Concord Rangers 12
Romford 0
Hemel Hempstead 2
Slough Town 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough -
Hampton & Richmond -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Burnham FC 2
Thame United 0
London Colney 4
Aveley 8
Walton & Hersham 2
Cray Wanderers 1
Waltham Abbey 0
Enfield Town 1
Uxbridge 4
Ash United 3
Margate 4
Sutton 5
Quarter-finals
Hinckley 2
Kirkley & Pakefield 1
Northampton Spencer 1
Cambridge City 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Histon -
Nuneaton 4
Carlton Town 1
Market Drayton 1
Gainsborough 2
Guiseley 2
Bamber Bridge 0
Ossett Town 0
Kendal 2
Halifax 2
Droylsden 0
Horden 1
Burscough 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alfreton 6
Wulfrunians 0
Spennymoor 1
Southport 3
Workington 4
Cammell Laird 1
Warrington Town 2
Radcliffe 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rushden -
Mansfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Buxton 5
AFC Fylde 0
Harrogate 0
Bradford PA 4
Hucknall 3
Rugby 1
Evesham 0
Stourbridge 1
Blyth Spartans 7
Ossett Albion 1
Hyde 2
Salford 3
Worcester 3
Bourne 0
Hereford Pegasus 1
Telford 4
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 4
Mildenhall 1
Corby 1
Eastwood 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
Lincoln Utd. 2
Roofing 1
FC Congleton Town 0
Frickley 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambridge Utd -
Kettering -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors 4
Mickleover 3
Stratford 1
Redditch 3
Northwich Victoria 8
Bardon Hill Sports 0
Ashton United 1
Chorley 2
Stalybridge 7
Stocksbridge 2
North Ferriby United 0
United of Manchester 1
Barrow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester City -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vauxhall 5
Whitby 0
Farsley 1
Fleetwood Town 3
York City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coventry Sphinx 5
Stafford 4
Rainworth 1
Bedworth United 2
Hendon 2
Kingstonian 1
Badshot Lea 0
Ashford Town 10
Maidstone 2
Harefield United 0
Hythe 3
Woking 7
Gloucester City 2
Bashley 1
Hungerford 0
Dorchester 4
Sutton Coldfield Town 3
Needham Market 1
Boston United 0
Lowestoft 1
Farnborough 1
Windsor & Eton 0
St. Albans 0
Heybridge 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salisbury -
Mangotsfield 6
Gillingham Town 3
Maidenhead 2
Truro 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Crawley Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon -
Oxford City 1
Sholing 0
Abingdon 1
Cirencester 3
Bedford 2
Romulus 1
Matlock 2
Bury Town 4
Bromley 2
Flackwell Heath 0
Horsham FC 0
Tonbridge 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Chelmsford 5
Enfield FC 0
Worthing FC 1
Dartford 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stevenage -
Aylesbury Vale 4
Wingate & Finchley 3
Billericay 2
Chesham 4
Lewes 2
Leatherhead 1
Boreham Wood 2
Wealdstone 4
Dover Ath. 8
East Preston 0
East Thurrock Utd 0
Welling 2
Basingstoke 1
Brackley 0
Witney Utd 1
Eastleigh 6
Hayes & Yeading -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Walton Casuals 1
Selsey 0
Sittingbourne 2
Staines 3
Luton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grays -
Oxford Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potters 3
Whitstable Town 0
Stortford 2
Thurrock 3
Bath City 5
Willand Rovers 0
Weymouth 0
Bishops Cleeve 3
Bridgwater United 1
Hallen 0
Almondsbury Town 1
AFC Totton 4
Paulton Rovers 2
Didcot 0
Clevedon 1
Newport 3
Havant & Waterlooville 1
Weston-super-Mare 0
Merthyr Tydfil 1
Chippenham Town 4
Tooting & Mitcham 2
Canvey Island 0
Concord Rangers 0
Slough Town 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough -
Hampton & Richmond 4
Braintree 1
Burnham FC 2
Aveley 4
Walton & Hersham 3
Enfield Town 2
Uxbridge 0
Sutton 3
Semi-finals
Hinckley 5
Cambridge City 0
TBD -
Histon -
Nuneaton 1
Gainsborough 0
Guiseley 1
Kendal 2
Halifax 1
Burscough 0
TBD -
Wrexham -
Gateshead -
TBD -
Alfreton 3
Southport 4
Workington 3
Radcliffe 0
TBD -
Rushden -
Mansfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Buxton 3
Bradford PA 2
Hucknall 1
Stourbridge 6
Blyth Spartans 4
Salford 3
Worcester 0
Telford 1
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 4
Eastwood 2
TBD -
Tamworth -
Lincoln Utd. 3
Frickley 2
TBD -
Cambridge Utd -
Kettering -
TBD -
Solihull Moors 0
Redditch 2
Northwich Victoria 4
Chorley 1
Stalybridge 3
United of Manchester 4
Barrow -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester City -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Vauxhall 2
Fleetwood Town 3
York City -
TBD -
Coventry Sphinx 0
Bedworth United 1
Hendon 3
Ashford Town 2
Maidstone 0
Woking 2
Gloucester City 2
Dorchester 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 1
Lowestoft 2
Farnborough 3
Heybridge 0
TBD -
Salisbury -
Mangotsfield 3
Truro 2
TBD -
Forest Green -
Crawley Town -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon -
Oxford City 2
Cirencester 0
Bedford 4
Bury Town 5
Bromley 2
Tonbridge 0
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Chelmsford 4
Dartford 1
TBD -
Stevenage -
Aylesbury Vale 4
Chesham 3
Lewes 0
Wealdstone 3
Dover Ath. 2
Welling 0
Basingstoke 0
Eastleigh 2
Hayes & Yeading -
TBD -
Walton Casuals 0
Staines 3
Luton -
TBD -
TBD -
Grays -
Oxford Utd -
TBD -
Potters 2
Thurrock 4
Bath City 4
Bishops Cleeve 1
Bridgwater United 2
AFC Totton 3
Paulton Rovers 1
Newport 0
Havant & Waterlooville 1
Chippenham Town 2
Tooting & Mitcham 3
Slough Town 2
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough -
Hampton & Richmond 3
Aveley 2
Walton & Hersham 0
Sutton 1
Stage 5
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Stage 4
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Stage 3
TBD -
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Stage 2
TBD -
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Stage 1
TBD -
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Final
Hinckley 2
Histon 1
Nuneaton 1
Kendal 0
Halifax 0
Wrexham 1
Gateshead 3
Southport 0
Workington 0
Rushden 3
Mansfield 3
Altrincham 0
Buxton 0
Stourbridge 4
Blyth Spartans 0
Telford 4
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 2
Tamworth 0
Lincoln Utd. 1
Cambridge Utd 3
Kettering 2
Redditch 1
Northwich Victoria 3
United of Manchester 0
Barrow 5
Chester City 1
Kidderminster 1
Fleetwood Town 3
York City 2
Bedworth United 0
Hendon 0
Woking 5
Gloucester City 3
Lowestoft 5
Farnborough 2
Salisbury 4
Mangotsfield 1
Forest Green 2
Crawley Town 2
AFC Wimbledon 4
Oxford City 2
Bury Town 1
Bromley 3
Ebbsfleet 0
Chelmsford 1
Stevenage 2
Aylesbury Vale 2
Wealdstone 4
Dover Ath. 3
Eastleigh 5
Hayes & Yeading 0
Staines 1
Luton 3
Grays 0
Oxford Utd 2
Thurrock 0
Bath City 3
AFC Totton 2
Paulton Rovers 3
Chippenham Town 0
Tooting & Mitcham 7
Eastbourne Borough 6
Hampton & Richmond 1
Sutton 3