Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Harrow Borough vs Staines

England England

Southern League South Division 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Moore G.
15' Event
Moore G.
24' Event
Keita F.

AI Match Summary

Harrow Borough in this Southern League South Division 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 9-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Harrow Borough.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Harrow Borough
15%
Draws
31%
Staines
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harrow Borough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Harrow Borough have won more games recently than Staines.
  • Harrow Borough are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Harrow Borough Clean Sheet 12%
Staines Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harrow Borough Staines
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 4
Draws 4 2
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 1.8 0.93
Goals Conceded 2 4.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2019 Southern League Premier South
Harrow Borough vs Staines
9:1
Jan 1, 2019 Southern League Premier South
Staines vs Harrow Borough
1:5
Nov 21, 2017 Isthmian League Premier Division
Harrow Borough vs Staines
1:2
Sep 12, 2017 Isthmian League Premier Division
Staines vs Harrow Borough
2:1
Mar 25, 2017 Isthmian League Premier Division
Harrow Borough vs Staines
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harrow Borough Compare

Top Goalscorer Moore G.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Keita F.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Staines Compare

Top Goalscorer Barreto C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harrow Borough 83 / 100
Staines 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harrow Borough Staines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harrow Borough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Staines conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Harrow Borough scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Harrow Borough remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Harrow Borough VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Harrow Borough

(Home)
13 Dec
Leatherhead
3 : 2
Harrow Borough
15 Nov
King’s Lynn
2 : 3
Harrow Borough
25 Oct
Stanway Rovers
1 : 2
Harrow Borough
04 Oct
Harrow Borough
3 : 1
FC Witham Town
20 Sept
Harrow Borough
4 : 0
Jersey Bulls
Page 1 of 6

Staines

(Away)
13 Nov
Brentwood
4 : 1
Staines
02 Nov
Staines
1 : 0
Brightlingsea
09 Oct
Staines
3 : 1
Three Bridges
29 Jul
Staines
0 : 6
Maidenhead
03 Jul
Staines
1 : 1
Farnborough
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Weymouth 42 25 11 6 96:51 86
2 Taunton Town 42 26 7 9 89:56 85
3 Metropolitan Police 42 22 12 8 91:64 78
4 Salisbury 42 22 11 9 97:69 77
5 Poole Town 42 20 10 12 84:59 70
6 Kings Langley 42 21 6 15 65:61 69
7 Harrow Borough 42 18 9 15 97:77 63
8 Hartley Wintney 42 17 12 13 82:70 63
9 Farnborough 42 18 8 16 72:72 62
10 Chesham 42 15 14 13 54:55 59
11 Swindon Supermarine 42 16 10 16 70:59 58
12 Beaconsfield Town 42 15 13 14 65:65 58
13 Merthyr Town 42 15 9 18 68:67 54
14 Wimborne 42 15 7 20 72:75 52
15 Dorchester 42 14 10 18 67:75 52
16 Hendon 42 14 10 18 64:74 52
17 Walton Casuals 42 14 9 19 69:78 51
18 Tiverton 42 13 12 17 65:75 51
19 Gosport Borough 42 15 5 22 63:70 50
20 Basingstoke 42 14 7 21 81:82 49
21 Frome Town 42 11 4 27 45:74 37
22 Staines 42 4 0 38 40:168 12
Promotion - Southern League South Division 2018/2019 (Play Offs)