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Harrow Borough vs Winchester City

England England

Southern League Premier South 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Balmer O.
47' Event
Balmer O.
52' Event
Gurteen J.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South 2023/2024 game between Harrow Borough and Winchester City finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Winchester City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Harrow Borough
6%
Draws
4%
Winchester City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Harrow Borough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Harrow Borough carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Harrow Borough taking it.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Harrow Borough Clean Sheet 20%
Winchester City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harrow Borough Winchester City
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 2.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.17 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Harrow Borough vs Winchester City
1:2
Oct 21, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Winchester City vs Harrow Borough
1:2
Feb 7, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Winchester City vs Harrow Borough
0:0
Aug 13, 2022 Southern League Premier South
Harrow Borough vs Winchester City
1:1
Oct 1, 2016 FA Cup
Harrow Borough vs Winchester City
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harrow Borough Compare

Top Goalscorer Gurteen J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Winchester City Compare

Top Goalscorer Balmer O.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harrow Borough 85 / 100
Winchester City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harrow Borough Winchester City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Winchester City conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Harrow Borough scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Harrow Borough remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Harrow Borough VS Winchester City
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.38
83% Over 1.5 75%
83% Over 2.5 38%
67% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chesham42286883:4690
2AFC Totton422312789:4581
3Salisbury422310970:4679
4Gosport Borough422391075:4378
5Bracknell Town422151684:7168
6Merthyr Town422071585:5967
7Walton & Hersham4218111378:6765
8Hungerford4218101477:7064
9Dorchester421791666:7760
10Hendon4214161270:6558
11Winchester City4215121563:6757
12Basingstoke421581969:8353
13Poole Town421642270:7652
14Tiverton4214101864:7452
15Sholing4213101952:6349
16Swindon Supermarine4213101973:9249
17Hanwell Town4212121864:7148
18Plymouth Parkway4212121860:6848
19Beaconsfield Town421392063:7848
20Hayes & Yeading4211131859:6746
21Harrow Borough421092360:9739
22Didcot426102645:9428