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Harstad vs Fauske Sprint

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Andersen G.
27' Event
Aronsen S.
28' Event
Andersen G.

AI Match Summary

Harstad in this Division 3 - Group 5 matchup, with the score ending 10-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Harstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Harstad
15%
Draws
36%
Fauske Sprint
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Harstad have won more games recently than Fauske Sprint.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Harstad taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Harstad have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.4%
Harstad Clean Sheet 10%
Fauske Sprint Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harstad Fauske Sprint
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2.87 2.69
Goals Conceded 1.73 3.14
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Harstad vs Fauske Sprint
10:1
Sep 8, 2012 Division 3 - Group 11
Fauske Sprint vs Harstad
0:9
Jun 2, 2012 Division 3 - Group 11
Harstad vs Fauske Sprint
3:1
Oct 13, 2001 Division 2 - Group 4
Harstad vs Fauske Sprint
8:1
Jul 7, 2001 Division 2 - Group 4
Fauske Sprint vs Harstad
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersen G.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Aronsen S.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Fauske Sprint Compare

Top Goalscorer Olsen J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harstad 83 / 100
Fauske Sprint 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harstad Fauske Sprint

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harstad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harstad scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Fauske Sprint let in goals in 100% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Harstad went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harstad VS Fauske Sprint
3.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 4.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Harstad

(Home)
19 Sept
Harstad
3 : 1
Skjetten
12 Sept
Harstad
6 : 1
Ulfstind
06 Sept
Tromso 2
0 : 1
Harstad
30 Aug
Harstad
3 : 2
Floya
22 Aug
Harstad
0 : 1
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
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Fauske Sprint

(Away)
20 Sept
Lillestrom 2
2 : 4
Fauske Sprint
14 Sept
Fauske Sprint
5 : 3
Stromsgodset 2
05 Sept
Ulfstind
1 : 6
Fauske Sprint
30 Aug
Fauske Sprint
1 : 5
Alta
26 Aug
Fauske Sprint
0 : 5
Bodo/Glimt
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