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Hart Academy vs Hawks

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Daffeh Y.
31' Event
Sowe S.
75' Event

AI Match Summary

The GFA League game between Hart Academy and Hawks finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hart Academy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Hart Academy
35%
Draws
29%
Hawks
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hart Academy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hart Academy come out ahead of Hawks on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Hawks here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Hart Academy Clean Sheet 68%
Hawks Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hart Academy Hawks
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 11 12
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.17 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 GFA League
Hart Academy vs Hawks
3:2
Jan 30, 2026 GFA League
Hawks vs Hart Academy
2:1
Jun 3, 2025 FF Cup
Hawks vs Hart Academy
2:0
Mar 21, 2025 GFA League
Hawks vs Hart Academy
3:2
Jan 19, 2025 GFA League
Hart Academy vs Hawks
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hart Academy Compare

Top Goalscorer Daffeh Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Hawks Compare

Top Goalscorer Sowe S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hart Academy 42 / 100
Hawks 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hart Academy Hawks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Hart Academy scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Hawks conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Hart Academy stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hart Academy VS Hawks
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hart Academy

(Home)
22 Jun
Falcons
2 : 1
Hart Academy
17 Jun
Hart Academy
3 : 1
Brikama United
11 Jun
Hart Academy
1 : 1
Samger
05 Jun
Medina United
0 : 0
Hart Academy
25 May
Hart Academy
0 : 1
TMT
Page 1 of 6

Hawks

(Away)
22 Jun
Hawks
1 : 1
Samger
16 Jun
TMT
1 : 1
Hawks
10 Jun
Hawks
0 : 0
Gambia Ports
05 Jun
Hawks
0 : 0
Team Rhino
25 May
Dutch Lions
3 : 1
Hawks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medina United 30 16 6 8 34:25 54
2 Fortune 30 14 11 5 33:21 53
3 Gambia Ports 30 12 11 7 26:18 47
4 Bombada 30 11 11 8 36:32 44
5 Brikama United 30 11 10 9 37:33 43
6 Real Banjul 30 9 14 7 30:25 41
7 BST Galaxy 30 9 12 9 29:32 39
8 Hart Academy 30 9 11 10 36:34 38
9 Team Rhino 30 9 10 11 26:29 37
10 Falcons 30 7 14 9 19:24 35
11 Dutch Lions 30 7 13 10 33:33 34
12 Greater Tomorrow 30 8 10 12 25:35 34
13 Hawks 30 7 12 11 25:31 33
14 TMT 30 7 12 11 20:29 33
15 Samger 30 6 14 10 23:27 32
16 Steve Biko 30 5 15 10 24:28 30
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - GFA League (Relegation - Play Offs)