Sport Picks
Hartberg vs Sturm Graz
Austria
Bundesliga 2025/2026 Stadion Hartberg, Hartberg 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Hartberg and Sturm Graz finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sturm Graz.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sturm Graz carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Sturm Graz have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hartberg | Sturm Graz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hartberg Compare
Sturm Graz Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hartberg found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Sturm Graz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Hartberg has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Hartberg
(Home)Sturm Graz
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LASK Linz | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 56:42 | 39 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 51:35 | 37 |
| 3 | Salzburg | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 56:41 | 29 |
| 4 | Austria Vienna | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 45:50 | 29 |
| 5 | Rapid Vienna | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 36:41 | 27 |
| 6 | Hartberg | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 40:40 | 25 |
