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Hartlepool vs Grimsby

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Amaluzor J.
47' Event
Cook A.
51' Event
Amaluzor J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Hartlepool and Grimsby finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grimsby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Hartlepool
17%
Draws
70%
Grimsby
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Grimsby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Grimsby haven't matched Hartlepool's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Grimsby taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 10%
Grimsby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hartlepool Grimsby
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 2 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2023 League Two
Grimsby vs Hartlepool
1:4
Oct 29, 2022 League Two
Hartlepool vs Grimsby
2:1
Jan 7, 2017 League Two
Hartlepool vs Grimsby
0:1
Oct 1, 2016 League Two
Grimsby vs Hartlepool
0:3
Oct 6, 2009 EFL Trophy
Hartlepool vs Grimsby
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hartlepool Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Grimsby Compare

Top Goalscorer Amaluzor J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cook A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hartlepool 14 / 100
Grimsby 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hartlepool Grimsby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hartlepool scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Grimsby conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Hartlepool remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hartlepool VS Grimsby
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hartlepool

(Home)
25 Jul
Hartlepool
0 : 3
Grimsby
21 Jul
Hebburn Town
2 : 3
Hartlepool
18 Jul
Spennymoor
1 : 2
Hartlepool
14 Jul
Redcar Athletic
2 : 4
Hartlepool
25 Apr
Boston United
3 : 1
Hartlepool
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Grimsby

(Away)
29 Jul
Boston United
0 : 0
Grimsby
28 Jul
Grimsby
5 : 1
Lincoln City
25 Jul
Hartlepool
0 : 3
Grimsby
18 Jul
Zorya
1 : 1
Grimsby
11 Jul
Cleethorpes
0 : 0
Grimsby
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