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Hartlepool vs Grimsby

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Amaluzor J.
47' Event
Cook A.
51' Event
Amaluzor J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Hartlepool and Grimsby finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grimsby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Hartlepool
20%
Draws
58%
Grimsby
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grimsby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Hartlepool haven't matched Grimsby's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Grimsby taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 18%
Grimsby Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hartlepool Grimsby
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 2 9
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.04 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Hartlepool vs Grimsby
0:3
Apr 7, 2023 League Two
Grimsby vs Hartlepool
1:4
Oct 29, 2022 League Two
Hartlepool vs Grimsby
2:1
Jan 7, 2017 League Two
Hartlepool vs Grimsby
0:1
Oct 1, 2016 League Two
Grimsby vs Hartlepool
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hartlepool Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Grimsby Compare

Top Goalscorer Amaluzor J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cook A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hartlepool 12 / 100
Grimsby 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hartlepool Grimsby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grimsby Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Hartlepool found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Grimsby's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Hartlepool remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hartlepool VS Grimsby
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hartlepool

(Home)
19 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 3
Worthing FC
16 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1
Hartlepool
11 Sept
Kidderminster
2 : 0
Hartlepool
08 Sept
Hartlepool
0 : 1
Everton U21
05 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 0
Woking
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Grimsby

(Away)
22 Sept
Notts County
2 : 1
Grimsby
19 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0
Crawley Town
12 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0
Bristol Rovers
05 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 2
Grimsby
01 Sept
Accrington
2 : 2
Grimsby
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