Sport Picks
Hartlepool vs Southend
England
National League 2025/2026 Victoria Park, Hartlepool 
Match Events
1'
1'
Dallas A.
30'
30'
Gubbins J.
31'
31'
Sinclair T.
Assist: Miley J.
AI Match Summary
The National League 2025/2026 game between Hartlepool and Southend finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hartlepool.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Hartlepool
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Southend come out ahead of Hartlepool on wins alone.
- Hartlepool are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 10%
Southend Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hartlepool | Southend |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 21, 2026 National League
Hartlepool vs Southend
4:3
Aug 25, 2025 National League
Southend vs Hartlepool
1:1
Dec 14, 2024 National League
Southend vs Hartlepool
0:0
Aug 17, 2024 National League
Hartlepool vs Southend
0:0
Mar 16, 2024 National League
Hartlepool vs Southend
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hartlepool Compare
Top Goalscorer Sinclair T.
2 Goals Assists Leader Reid A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Southend Compare
Top Goalscorer Dallas A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Austin S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hartlepool 38 / 100
Southend 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hartlepool Southend
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick HAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hartlepool scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Southend conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Recent resilience: Hartlepool stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hartlepool VS Southend
2 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Hartlepool
(Home) 25 Jul
Hartlepool
0 : 3 Grimsby
21 Jul
Hebburn Town
2 : 3 Hartlepool
18 Jul
Spennymoor
1 : 2 Hartlepool
14 Jul
Redcar Athletic
2 : 4 Hartlepool
25 Apr
Boston United
3 : 1 Hartlepool
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Hartlepool
0 : 3 Grimsby
21 Apr
Hartlepool
4 : 3 Southend
18 Apr
Hartlepool
2 : 1 Forest Green
06 Apr
Hartlepool
0 : 0 Rochdale
21 Mar
Hartlepool
1 : 0 Eastleigh
Page 1 of 3
Southend
(Away) 25 Jul
Southend
1 : 2 Leyton Orient
22 Jul
Southend
1 : 3 Northampton
18 Jul
Southend
1 : 1 West Ham
14 Jul
Southend
1 : 2 Cambridge Utd
17 May
Southend
1 : 0 Wealdstone
Page 1 of 6
28 Apr
Scunthorpe
1 : 0 Southend
21 Apr
Hartlepool
4 : 3 Southend
18 Apr
Halifax
2 : 6 Southend
14 Apr
Aldershot
0 : 2 Southend
06 Apr
Sutton
0 : 3 Southend
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | York City | 46 | 33 | 9 | 4 | 114:41 | 108 |
| 2 | Rochdale | 46 | 33 | 7 | 6 | 88:41 | 106 |
| 3 | Carlisle | 46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 87:51 | 95 |
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 95:58 | 90 |
| 5 | Scunthorpe | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 77:62 | 82 |
| 6 | Southend | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 83:47 | 81 |
| 7 | Forest Green | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 82:52 | 81 |
| 8 | Halifax | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 69:66 | 70 |
| 9 | Hartlepool | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 54:59 | 68 |
| 10 | Woking | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 69:54 | 63 |
| 11 | Tamworth | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 63:71 | 62 |
| 12 | Boston United | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 63:67 | 59 |
| 13 | Altrincham | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 55:65 | 57 |
| 14 | Solihull Moors | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 71:72 | 56 |
| 15 | Wealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 67:74 | 56 |
| 16 | Yeovil | 46 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 48:68 | 51 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 57:80 | 50 |
| 18 | Gateshead | 46 | 14 | 8 | 24 | 54:90 | 50 |
| 19 | Sutton | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 59:79 | 47 |
| 20 | Aldershot | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 69:87 | 46 |
| 21 | Brackley | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 40:75 | 42 |
| 22 | Morecambe | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 66:103 | 38 |
| 23 | Braintree | 46 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 38:76 | 36 |
| 24 | Truro | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 42:72 | 34 |
Promotion - League Two (Main)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
