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Hashtag vs Carshalton

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Read L.
45' Event
Kouassi E.
(Penalty)
77' Event
Kouassi E.

AI Match Summary

Hashtag in this Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hashtag.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Hashtag
30%
Draws
41%
Carshalton
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carshalton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Medium Confidence
  • Hashtag have won more games recently than Carshalton.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Hashtag Clean Sheet 11%
Carshalton Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hashtag Carshalton
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 5
Draws 7 10
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Hashtag vs Carshalton
3:1
Oct 18, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Carshalton vs Hashtag
2:2
Jan 25, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Carshalton vs Hashtag
1:0
Oct 1, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Hashtag vs Carshalton
0:1
Feb 10, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Hashtag vs Carshalton
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hashtag Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouassi E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fage-Burgin C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Carshalton Compare

Top Goalscorer Read L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hashtag 30 / 100
Carshalton 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hashtag Carshalton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carshalton let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Hashtag scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Hashtag has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hashtag VS Carshalton
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hashtag

(Home)
01 Aug
Hastings
0 : 0
Hashtag
18 Jul
Hashtag
1 : 2
Dagenham & Red.
25 Apr
Hashtag
1 : 2
Dulwich Hamlet
18 Apr
Ramsgate
0 : 2
Hashtag
11 Apr
Hashtag
1 : 1
Cray Valley
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Carshalton

(Away)
01 Aug
Dover Ath.
1 : 1
Carshalton
18 Jul
Hanworth Villa
2 : 1
Carshalton
11 Jul
Carshalton
0 : 1
Hampton & Richmond
04 Jul
Carshalton
4 : 0
Bromley
25 Apr
Carshalton
1 : 0
St. Albans
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folkestone 42 29 9 4 102:40 96
2 Aveley 42 24 12 6 90:51 84
3 Billericay 42 24 10 8 81:48 82
4 Chatham 42 24 7 11 83:35 79
5 Brentwood 42 24 6 12 84:66 78
6 Dartford 42 20 12 10 81:55 72
7 Cray Wanderers 42 17 16 9 79:71 67
8 Burgess Hill 42 20 7 15 76:81 67
9 Dulwich Hamlet 42 17 11 14 61:53 62
10 Ramsgate 42 15 12 15 73:68 57
11 St. Albans 42 16 8 18 71:59 56
12 Chichester City 42 14 13 15 57:63 55
13 Cheshunt 42 12 14 16 65:70 50
14 Whitehawk 42 12 13 17 58:72 49
15 Welling 42 15 3 24 54:75 48
16 Wingate & Finchley 42 12 10 20 55:67 46
17 Lewes 42 13 7 22 47:83 46
18 Carshalton 42 10 14 18 61:73 44
19 Cray Valley 42 11 9 22 54:80 42
20 Hashtag 42 11 9 22 60:87 42
21 Potters 42 9 3 30 46:94 30
22 Canvey Island 42 6 9 27 40:87 27
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)