Sport Picks

Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Mersin Stadyumu

Bodrumspor

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hatayspor play Bodrumspor in the 1. Lig 2025/2026. Bodrumspor are favorites here. Recently, Hatayspor averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.73 conceded. Bodrumspor averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Hatayspor won 1, Bodrumspor won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 28, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Hatayspor and 1.88 for Bodrumspor. This points to a Bodrumspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%

Hatayspor

15%

Draws

71%

Bodrumspor

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bodrumspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Hatayspor picked up more points recently compared to Bodrumspor.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Hatayspor Clean Sheet 10%

Bodrumspor Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hatayspor	Bodrumspor
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	2	12
Draws	5	8
Losses	23	11
Goals Scored	0.8	1.48
Goals Conceded	2.73	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 1. Lig

Hatayspor vs Bodrumspor

Possession: 43% - 50% Cards: 1 - 3

1:3

Oct 5, 2025 1. Lig

Bodrumspor vs Hatayspor

Possession: 41% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

5:0

Feb 21, 2025 Super Lig

Bodrumspor vs Hatayspor

Possession: 50% - 52% Cards: 2 - 0

1:0

Sep 20, 2024 Super Lig

Hatayspor vs Bodrumspor

Possession: 45% - 51% Cards: 4 - 2

0:1

Mar 3, 2018 2. Lig Red Group

Bodrumspor vs Hatayspor

Possession: 53% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hatayspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Osman S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Bodrumspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajeti Ar.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Habesoglu A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hatayspor 15 / 100

Bodrumspor 67 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hatayspor Bodrumspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bodrumspor Win (2)

Secondary Pick Bodrumspor & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +133.4%

16.67

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hatayspor attacking → ← attacking Bodrumspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hatayspor scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Bodrumspor let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Hatayspor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bodrumspor lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 44

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Erzurumspor FK	38	23	12	3	82:27	81
2	Amedspor	38	21	11	6	81:42	74
3	Erokspor	38	21	11	6	81:35	74
4	Corum FK	38	21	8	9	63:39	71
5	Bodrumspor	38	18	10	10	71:39	64
6	Pendikspor	38	16	15	7	58:33	63
7	Keciorengucu	38	16	12	10	73:43	60
8	Bandirmaspor	38	16	12	10	47:34	60
9	Manisa FK	38	16	7	15	57:56	55
10	Sivasspor	38	14	11	13	47:43	53
11	Istanbulspor AS	38	13	13	12	57:55	52
12	Sariyer	38	15	7	16	44:44	52
13	Igdir FK	38	13	11	14	52:54	50
14	Vanspor FK	38	13	10	15	52:47	49
15	Boluspor	38	14	6	18	61:57	48
16	Umraniyespor	38	13	7	18	47:51	46
17	Serik Spor	38	11	6	21	44:75	39
18	Sakaryaspor	38	8	10	20	45:72	34
19	Hatayspor	38	2	8	28	33:102	14
20	Adanademirspor	38	1	3	34	22:169	-54