Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hatayspor vs Igdir FK

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Mersin Stadyumu, Mersin
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Bacuna L.
Assist: Loshaj F.
13' Event
Bruno G.
Assist: Bacuna L.
18'
Sarka B.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig 2025/2026 game between Hatayspor and Igdir FK finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Igdir FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Hatayspor
20%
Draws
61%
Igdir FK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Igdir FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Igdir FK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Igdir FK's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular 1. Lig 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Hatayspor Clean Sheet 13%
Igdir FK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hatayspor Igdir FK
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 2 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 0.76 1.44
Goals Conceded 2.48 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2026 1. Lig
Hatayspor vs Igdir FK
0:2
Sep 23, 2025 1. Lig
Igdir FK vs Hatayspor
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hatayspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Igdir FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Bacuna L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bruno G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hatayspor 19 / 100
Igdir FK 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hatayspor Igdir FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Igdir FK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Igdir FK let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Hatayspor scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Hatayspor remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hatayspor VS Igdir FK
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hatayspor

(Home)
20 Sept
Kastamonuspor
1 : 0
Hatayspor
13 Sept
Corluspor
0 : 0
Hatayspor
06 Sept
Hatayspor
0 : 2
Guzide Gebzespor
01 May
Hatayspor
3 : 1
Vanspor FK
25 Apr
Serik Spor
4 : 2
Hatayspor
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Igdir FK

(Away)
18 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Igdir FK
13 Sept
Igdir FK
1 : 0
Mardin 1969
07 Sept
Istanbulspor AS
1 : 2
Igdir FK
03 Sept
Igdir FK
4 : 2
Manisa FK
30 Aug
Erokspor
0 : 1
Igdir FK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erzurumspor FK 38 23 12 3 82:27 81
2 Amedspor 38 21 11 6 81:42 74
3 Erokspor 38 21 11 6 81:35 74
4 Corum FK 38 21 8 9 63:39 71
5 Bodrumspor 38 18 10 10 71:39 64
6 Pendikspor 38 16 15 7 58:33 63
7 Keciorengucu 38 16 12 10 73:43 60
8 Bandirmaspor 38 16 12 10 47:34 60
9 Manisa FK 38 16 7 15 57:56 55
10 Sivasspor 38 14 11 13 47:43 53
11 Istanbulspor AS 38 13 13 12 57:55 52
12 Sariyer 38 15 7 16 44:44 52
13 Igdir FK 38 13 11 14 52:54 50
14 Vanspor FK 38 13 10 15 52:47 49
15 Boluspor 38 14 6 18 61:57 48
16 Umraniyespor 38 13 7 18 47:51 46
17 Serik Spor 38 11 6 21 44:75 39
18 Sakaryaspor 38 8 10 20 45:72 34
19 Hatayspor 38 2 8 28 33:102 14
20 Adanademirspor 38 1 3 34 22:169 -54
Promotion - Super Lig (Main)
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Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)