Sport Picks

England

Southern League Premier South

Berkhamsted Town

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Havant & Waterlooville play Berkhamsted Town in the Southern League Premier South. It looks like a close match. Recently, Havant & Waterlooville averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Berkhamsted Town averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Havant & Waterlooville won 0, Berkhamsted Town won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Havant & Waterlooville and 1.50 for Berkhamsted Town. This points to a Berkhamsted Town double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Havant & Waterlooville

17%

Draws

46%

Berkhamsted Town

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Berkhamsted Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Havant & Waterlooville picked up more points recently compared to Berkhamsted Town.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Havant & Waterlooville Clean Sheet 16%

Berkhamsted Town Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Havant & Waterlooville	Berkhamsted Town
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	16
Draws	5	5
Losses	11	9
Goals Scored	1.97	1.6
Goals Conceded	1.53	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Southern League Premier South

Havant & Waterlooville vs Berkhamsted Town

Possession: 49% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Nov 1, 2025 Southern League Premier South

Berkhamsted Town vs Havant & Waterlooville

Possession: 58% - 40% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Havant & Waterlooville Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Berkhamsted Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Brooks K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Havant & Waterlooville 37 / 100

Berkhamsted Town 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Havant & Waterlooville Berkhamsted Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Berkhamsted Town or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Havant & Waterlooville attacking → ← attacking Berkhamsted Town

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Havant & Waterlooville scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Berkhamsted Town let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Havant & Waterlooville went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Berkhamsted Town lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 53

2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Walton & Hersham	42	29	5	8	94:42	92
2	Farnham	42	25	9	8	90:50	84
3	Gloucester City	42	25	7	10	93:51	82
4	Poole Town	42	21	12	9	80:50	75
5	Berkhamsted Town	42	21	9	12	62:50	72
6	Sholing	42	18	15	9	74:53	69
7	Chertsey Town	42	19	10	13	64:55	67
8	Gosport Borough	42	19	6	17	74:75	63
9	Uxbridge	42	15	14	13	74:70	59
10	Havant & Waterlooville	42	17	7	18	78:70	58
11	Plymouth Parkway	42	16	8	18	64:79	56
12	Bracknell Town	42	15	10	17	70:71	55
13	Yate	42	14	10	18	57:62	52
14	Hanwell Town	42	14	10	18	57:63	52
15	Wimborne	42	12	15	15	63:62	51
16	Taunton Town	42	14	9	19	65:70	51
17	Basingstoke	42	14	9	19	61:71	51
18	Evesham	42	11	14	17	51:62	47
19	Weymouth	42	13	8	21	53:71	47
20	Dorchester	42	9	13	20	48:79	40
21	Hungerford	42	9	11	22	47:87	38
22	Tiverton	42	5	3	34	39:115	18