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Haverfordwest vs Hamilton

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Thomas D.
42' Event
Blues C.
73' Event
MacDonald K.

AI Match Summary

Hamilton in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hamilton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Haverfordwest
15%
Draws
46%
Hamilton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Haverfordwest haven't matched Hamilton's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Hamilton a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Haverfordwest Clean Sheet 16%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haverfordwest Hamilton
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 16 17
Draws 2 4
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.54 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Haverfordwest vs Hamilton
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Haverfordwest Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Blues C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haverfordwest 28 / 100
Hamilton 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haverfordwest Hamilton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamilton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Haverfordwest's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Haverfordwest went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Hamilton has conceded goals in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Haverfordwest VS Hamilton
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Haverfordwest

(Home)
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0
Holywell Town FC
11 Sept
Haverfordwest
3 : 1
Briton Ferry
04 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 1
Haverfordwest
31 Aug
Haverfordwest
2 : 1
Trefelin
28 Aug
Llandudno FC
2 : 0
Haverfordwest
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Hamilton

(Away)
19 Sept
Hamilton
4 : 1
Queen of the South
08 Sept
Spartans
0 : 4
Hamilton
05 Sept
East Kilbride
0 : 1
Hamilton
29 Aug
Hamilton
1 : 0
Cove Rangers
25 Aug
Hamilton
0 : 1
Edinburgh City
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