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Hay Al Wadi vs Al-Merreikh Obeid

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hay Al Wadi in this Premier League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hay Al Wadi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Hay Al Wadi
17%
Draws
13%
Al-Merreikh Obeid
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Hay Al Wadi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Hay Al Wadi at 1.63 per game, Al-Merreikh Obeid at 0.86.
  • Win probability leans Hay Al Wadi's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hay Al Wadi here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Hay Al Wadi Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Merreikh Obeid Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hay Al Wadi Al-Merreikh Obeid
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 9 9
Draws 11 3
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.63 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Premier League
Hay Al Wadi vs Al-Merreikh Obeid
3:2
Jan 23, 2026 Premier League
Al-Merreikh Obeid vs Hay Al Wadi
2:2
Jul 10, 2025 Premier League
Hay Al Wadi vs Al-Merreikh Obeid
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hay Al Wadi 67 / 100
Al-Merreikh Obeid 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hay Al Wadi Al-Merreikh Obeid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Difficult form: Al-Merreikh Obeid registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Hay Al Wadi's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Al-Merreikh Obeid's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hay Al Wadi VS Al-Merreikh Obeid
1.63 Goals Scored 0.86
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.57
88% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 86%
38% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Hay Al Wadi

(Home)
09 Jun
Hilal El-Fasher
0 : 0
Hay Al Wadi
06 Jun
Alfalah Atbra
1 : 3
Hay Al Wadi
01 Jun
Al-Merreikh II
4 : 0
Hay Al Wadi
29 May
Madani
3 : 3
Hay Al Wadi
23 May
Hay Al Wadi
0 : 2
Hilal Alsahil
Page 1 of 6

Al-Merreikh Obeid

(Away)
13 Feb
Hay Al Wadi
3 : 2
Al-Merreikh Obeid
08 Feb
Haidob Al Nuhod
4 : 0
Al-Merreikh Obeid
05 Feb
Al-Merreikh Obeid
1 : 3
Hilal El-Fasher
31 Jan
Zamala Ruwaba
1 : 0
Al-Merreikh Obeid
27 Jan
Al Fajr
3 : 0
Al-Merreikh Obeid
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman742115:414
2Al-Merreikh74217:514
3Madani74218:214
4Zamala Ruwaba73227:511
5Alamal SC Atbara72237:78
6Hay Al Wadi71425:87
7Al-Mergheni71334:96
8Al-Merreikh Obeid70162:151
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)