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Hayes & Yeading vs Metropolitan Police

England England

FA Trophy 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hayes & Yeading play Metropolitan Police in the FA Trophy 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hayes & Yeading averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. Metropolitan Police averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. In past meetings, Hayes & Yeading won 2, Metropolitan Police won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 6, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Hayes & Yeading and 1.19 for Metropolitan Police. This points to a Hayes & Yeading double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Hayes & Yeading
20%
Draws
39%
Metropolitan Police
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hayes & Yeading

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Hayes & Yeading picked up more points recently compared to Metropolitan Police.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Hayes & Yeading Clean Sheet 20%
Metropolitan Police Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hayes & Yeading Metropolitan Police
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.21 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 FA Trophy
Hayes & Yeading vs Metropolitan Police
1:0
Feb 7, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Hayes & Yeading vs Metropolitan Police
3:2
Aug 6, 2022 Southern League Premier South
Metropolitan Police vs Hayes & Yeading
2:1
Dec 4, 2021 Southern League Premier South
Hayes & Yeading vs Metropolitan Police
1:2
Sep 25, 2021 Southern League Premier South
Metropolitan Police vs Hayes & Yeading
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hayes & Yeading 41 / 100
Metropolitan Police 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hayes & Yeading Metropolitan Police

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hayes & Yeading or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hayes & Yeading attacking → ← attacking Metropolitan Police

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hayes & Yeading scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Metropolitan Police let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Hayes & Yeading went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Metropolitan Police lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 32
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00