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Heaven Eleven vs Watanga

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Heaven Eleven play Watanga in the LFA First Division. It looks like a close match. Recently, Heaven Eleven averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. Watanga averaged 1.43 goals scored and 0.73 conceded. In past meetings, Heaven Eleven won 0, Watanga won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.76 for Heaven Eleven and 1.19 for Watanga. This points to a Watanga double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Heaven Eleven
35%
Draws
39%
Watanga
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Watanga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Heaven Eleven picked up more points recently compared to Watanga.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.76 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Heaven Eleven Clean Sheet 20%
Watanga Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heaven Eleven Watanga
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 17
Draws 12 10
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.35 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 LFA First Division
Heaven Eleven vs Watanga
3:3
Dec 11, 2025 LFA First Division
Watanga vs Heaven Eleven
2:1
Apr 20, 2025 LFA First Division
Watanga vs Heaven Eleven
0:0
Dec 4, 2024 LFA First Division
Heaven Eleven vs Watanga
0:1
Mar 3, 2024 LFA First Division
Watanga vs Heaven Eleven
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heaven Eleven 27 / 100
Watanga 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heaven Eleven Watanga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Watanga or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Heaven Eleven attacking → ← attacking Watanga

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heaven Eleven scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Watanga let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Heaven Eleven went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Watanga lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 61
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Watanga26168240:2056
2BEA Mountain26157456:2252
3FC Fassell26138531:1747
4LPRC Oiler26118736:2941
5Liberia Registry26125931:3341
6Paynesville26108841:4238
7Discoveries2698931:2335
8Wologizi26971038:4034
9Heaven Eleven26711833:3532
10Borough FC26691133:4427
11Downtown26761332:4427
12Gardnersville26761336:5127
13Black Man Warrior26481416:2820
14Freeport26451738:6417
15Jubilee00000:00