Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hednesford vs Harborough

England England

National League North Keys Park, Hednesford
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Langston G.
Own Goal
83' Event
Langston G.
85' Event
Abimbola D.

AI Match Summary

Hednesford in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hednesford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Hednesford
20%
Draws
29%
Harborough
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hednesford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Harborough at 1.79 per game, Hednesford at 1.66.
  • Hednesford are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Hednesford Clean Sheet 16%
Harborough Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hednesford Harborough
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 14
Draws 8 10
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.66 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 National League North
Hednesford vs Harborough
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 FA Trophy
Harborough vs Hednesford
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hednesford Compare

Top Goalscorer Langston G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abimbola D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Harborough Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hednesford 36 / 100
Harborough 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hednesford Harborough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hednesford scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Harborough conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Hednesford stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hednesford VS Harborough
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hednesford

(Home)
12 Sept
Hebburn Town
2 : 1
Hednesford
08 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 3
Hednesford
05 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1
South Shields
31 Aug
Spennymoor
1 : 1
Hednesford
28 Aug
Hednesford
2 : 1
Harborough
Page 1 of 6

Harborough

(Away)
12 Sept
Harborough
0 : 0
Telford
08 Sept
Harborough
0 : 3
Hereford
05 Sept
Brackley
1 : 0
Harborough
31 Aug
Harborough
2 : 1
Marine
28 Aug
Hednesford
2 : 1
Harborough
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 9 7 1 1 21:4 22
2 Oxford City 9 6 1 2 17:6 19
3 Macclesfield 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
4 Spalding United 9 5 2 2 13:6 17
5 Hebburn Town 9 5 2 2 15:15 17
6 South Shields 8 5 2 1 9:10 17
7 Buxton 9 5 1 3 18:14 16
8 Bedford 9 5 0 4 13:13 15
9 Chester 9 4 2 3 9:8 14
10 Morecambe 9 4 1 4 13:8 13
11 Merthyr Town 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
12 King’s Lynn 9 4 1 4 15:15 13
13 Harborough 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
14 Worksop 9 4 0 5 9:12 12
15 Scarborough Athletic 9 3 2 4 14:11 11
16 Chorley 9 3 2 4 14:16 11
17 Marine 9 3 0 6 10:11 9
18 Telford 9 2 3 4 8:10 9
19 Hednesford 9 2 3 4 13:16 9
20 Southport 9 2 2 5 11:18 8
21 Brackley 8 2 2 4 7:16 8
22 Radcliffe 9 2 0 7 8:16 6
23 Darlington FC 9 2 0 7 11:20 6
24 Spennymoor 9 1 3 5 9:19 6
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)