Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Heerenveen vs De Graafschap

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Vente D.
40' Event
Meerveld R.
41' Event
Rivera M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Heerenveen and De Graafschap finished 7-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heerenveen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Heerenveen
20%
Draws
30%
De Graafschap
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Heerenveen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Heerenveen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Heerenveen a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Heerenveen Clean Sheet 18%
De Graafschap Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heerenveen De Graafschap
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.97 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Heerenveen vs De Graafschap
7:2
Aug 15, 2020 Club Friendly
De Graafschap vs Heerenveen
5:1
Mar 16, 2019 Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs De Graafschap
0:3
Oct 6, 2018 Eredivisie
De Graafschap vs Heerenveen
0:5
Sep 20, 2016 KNVB Beker
Heerenveen vs De Graafschap
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heerenveen Compare

Top Goalscorer Vente D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Meerveld R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

De Graafschap Compare

Top Goalscorer Eijken D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Jong F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heerenveen 85 / 100
De Graafschap 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heerenveen De Graafschap

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heerenveen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: De Graafschap conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Heerenveen scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Heerenveen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Heerenveen VS De Graafschap
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Heerenveen

(Home)
19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 4
Heerenveen
13 Sept
Heerenveen
0 : 0
Telstar
06 Sept
Heerenveen
2 : 3
AZ Alkmaar
30 Aug
Willem II
2 : 2
Heerenveen
22 Aug
Heerenveen
0 : 2
Zwolle
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De Graafschap

(Away)
20 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 2
NAC Breda
11 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 2
De Graafschap
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0
De Graafschap
29 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 4
Almere City
23 Aug
Venlo
2 : 1
De Graafschap
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