Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs FK Babrungas

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Cepkauskas L.

AI Match Summary

FK Babrungas in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Babrungas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Hegelmann Litauen 2
6%
Draws
90%
FK Babrungas
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Babrungas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Babrungas have won more games recently than Hegelmann Litauen 2.
  • Model gives FK Babrungas a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FK Babrungas have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Clean Sheet 11%
FK Babrungas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hegelmann Litauen 2 FK Babrungas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 20
Draws 3 5
Losses 20 4
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.38 0.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 0.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs FK Babrungas
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
4:1
Jun 17, 2025 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs FK Babrungas
4:2
Oct 26, 2024 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
2:1
Jun 8, 2024 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs FK Babrungas
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hegelmann Litauen 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

FK Babrungas Compare

Top Goalscorer Cepkauskas L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hegelmann Litauen 2 10 / 100
FK Babrungas 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hegelmann Litauen 2 FK Babrungas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Hegelmann Litauen 2 scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

FK Babrungas let in goals in 45% of their last 29 matches.

Hegelmann Litauen 2 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hegelmann Litauen 2 VS FK Babrungas
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.13
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hegelmann Litauen 2

(Home)
25 Jul
FK Atmosfera
4 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
21 Jul
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 2
Zalgiris 2
02 Jul
Zalgiris 2
3 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
27 Jun
Hegelmann Litauen 2
2 : 1
Jonava
20 Jun
BFA Vilnius
0 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
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FK Babrungas

(Away)
25 Jul
FK Babrungas
2 : 0
Ekranas
19 Jul
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
0 : 2
FK Babrungas
27 Jun
Siauliai 2
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
24 Jun
FK Babrungas
0 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Jun
FK Babrungas
1 : 0
BE1 NFA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Babrungas17143030:445
2FK Minija16141141:1043
3Tauras Taurage17111534:1934
4Neptunas17102524:2032
5BE1 NFA16102429:1832
6BFA Vilnius1791725:2628
7Dainava Alytus1583426:1527
8FK Atmosfera1673627:1824
9Garliava1664622:1522
10Zalgiris 21663723:2521
11Jonava1755720:2220
12Transinvest 21643915:3815
13Hegelmann Litauen 217411217:3813
14Ekranas17211416:357
15FK Kauno Zalgiris 21721149:307
16Siauliai 217141215:407
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)