Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Heidenauer vs Dresden II

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dresden II in this Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dresden II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Heidenauer
30%
Draws
70%
Dresden II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dresden II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Dresden II have won more games recently than Heidenauer.
  • Dresden II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Dresden II have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Heidenauer Clean Sheet 19%
Dresden II Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heidenauer Dresden II
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 17
Draws 4 5
Losses 24 9
Goals Scored 0.9 2
Goals Conceded 3.13 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2014 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Dresden II vs Heidenauer
3:0
Nov 9, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Heidenauer vs Dresden II
1:3
Jun 9, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Heidenauer vs Dresden II
1:1
Apr 17, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Dresden II vs Heidenauer
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heidenauer 10 / 100
Dresden II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heidenauer Dresden II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dresden II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dresden II let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Heidenauer scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dresden II
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Heidenauer

(Home)
08 Jun
Heidenauer
3 : 7
Bautzen
01 Jun
Hallescher II
3 : 0
Heidenauer
24 May
Heidenauer
1 : 3
Schott Jena
18 May
Dresden II
3 : 0
Heidenauer
10 May
Heidenauer
2 : 4
Piesteritz
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Dresden II

(Away)
20 Sept
Dresden II
1 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
13 Sept
Auerbach
1 : 1
Dresden II
30 Aug
Dresden II
5 : 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
16 Aug
Eilenburg
1 : 1
Dresden II
09 Aug
Dresden II
1 : 0
Freital
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bautzen 30 23 4 3 72:22 73
2 Markranstadt 30 21 4 5 54:21 67
3 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 29 18 3 8 70:41 57
4 Halle 30 16 3 11 55:35 51
5 Aue II 29 15 2 12 48:54 47
6 Chemnitzer II 30 13 6 11 61:44 45
7 Cottbus II 30 14 3 13 49:52 45
8 Sandersdorf 30 14 3 13 43:51 45
9 Dresden II 30 12 5 13 41:41 41
10 Jena II 30 11 6 13 54:48 39
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 12 3 15 40:50 39
12 Schott Jena 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
13 Erfurt II 30 9 6 15 49:63 33
14 Hallescher II 30 9 4 17 39:55 31
15 Piesteritz 30 6 6 18 40:66 24
16 Heidenauer 30 2 4 24 27:94 10
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2014/2015 (Main)