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Heist vs RAAL La Louviere

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup Gemeentelijk Sportcentrum
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Heist play RAAL La Louviere in the Belgian Cup. Heist are favorites here. Recently, Heist averaged 2.93 goals scored and 1 conceded. RAAL La Louviere averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. In past meetings, Heist won 2, RAAL La Louviere won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 29, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.31 for Heist and 1.38 for RAAL La Louviere. This points to a Heist double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Heist
16%
Draws
25%
RAAL La Louviere
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Heist

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Heist picked up more points recently compared to RAAL La Louviere.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.31 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Heist Clean Sheet 17%
RAAL La Louviere Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heist RAAL La Louviere
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 19 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2.93 1.14
Goals Conceded 1 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2025 Belgian Cup
Heist vs RAAL La Louviere
1:2
Mar 16, 2024 National Division 1
RAAL La Louviere vs Heist
1:2
Oct 14, 2023 National Division 1
Heist vs RAAL La Louviere
0:2
Mar 25, 2023 National Division 1
RAAL La Louviere vs Heist
6:2
Nov 5, 2022 National Division 1
Heist vs RAAL La Louviere
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heist Compare

Top Goalscorer Goossens J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

RAAL La Louviere Compare

Top Goalscorer Gillot N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heist 57 / 100
RAAL La Louviere 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heist RAAL La Louviere

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heist Win (1)
Secondary Pick Heist & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.6%
1.96
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Heist attacking → ← attacking RAAL La Louviere

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heist scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

RAAL La Louviere let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Heist went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

RAAL La Louviere lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 26
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38