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Henan Songshan Longmen vs Shenzhen FC

China China

Super League 2023 Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium, Zhengzhou
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Chen Guoliang
Assist: Ghojaehmet Shahzat
23' Event
Huang Zichang
Assist: Luo Xin
25' Event
Covic N.
Assist: Pereira H.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2023 game between Henan Songshan Longmen and Shenzhen FC finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Henan Songshan Longmen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Henan Songshan Longmen
6%
Draws
4%
Shenzhen FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Henan Songshan Longmen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Henan Songshan Longmen come out ahead of Shenzhen FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Henan Songshan Longmen a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Henan Songshan Longmen Clean Sheet 20%
Shenzhen FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Henan Songshan Longmen Shenzhen FC
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 15 2
Draws 7 3
Losses 13 25
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2023 Super League
Henan Songshan Longmen vs Shenzhen FC
3:1
Apr 30, 2023 Super League
Shenzhen FC vs Henan Songshan Longmen
1:1
Dec 23, 2022 Super League
Henan Songshan Longmen vs Shenzhen FC
3:0
Oct 29, 2022 Super League
Shenzhen FC vs Henan Songshan Longmen
0:2
Jul 24, 2021 Super League
Shenzhen FC vs Henan Songshan Longmen
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Henan Songshan Longmen Compare

Top Goalscorer Huang Zichang
1 Goals
Assists Leader Covic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Shenzhen FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Chen Guoliang
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Henan Songshan Longmen 85 / 100
Shenzhen FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Henan Songshan Longmen Shenzhen FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shenzhen FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Shenzhen FC has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Henan Songshan Longmen found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (35 games).

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Henan Songshan Longmen VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Henan Songshan Longmen

(Home)
21 Jul
Henan Songshan Longmen
1 : 2
Dalian Yingbo
17 Jul
Henan Songshan Longmen
5 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
03 Jul
Yunnan Yukun
2 : 1
Henan Songshan Longmen
27 Jun
Henan Songshan Longmen
1 : 2
Shanghai Port
19 Jun
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 2
Henan Songshan Longmen
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Shenzhen FC

(Away)
04 Nov
Shenzhen FC
0 : 3
Beijing Guoan
29 Oct
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 0
Shenzhen FC
23 Oct
Chengdu Rongcheng
4 : 0
Shenzhen FC
29 Sept
Shenzhen FC
0 : 1
Changchun Yatai
24 Sept
Shenzhen FC
0 : 5
Zhejiang Professional
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shanghai Port30196561:3063
2Shandong Taishan301610459:2558
3Zhejiang Professional30167757:3455
4Chengdu Rongcheng30158751:3253
5Shanghai Shenhua30157834:3152
6Beijing Guoan30149753:3551
7Wuhan Three Towns30149751:3551
8Tianjin Jinmen Tiger301115440:2948
9Changchun Yatai301091144:4839
10Henan Songshan Longmen30991238:4036
11Meizhou Hakka30971442:5434
12Cangzhou Mighty Lions30871529:6031
13Qingdao Hainiu30771634:4528
14Nantong Zhiyun304101626:4222
15Dalian Professional303111625:4720
16Shenzhen FC30332422:7912
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2024/2025 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2024/2025 (League phase)
Relegation - Jia League 2024 (Main)