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Herbania vs Lanzarote

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Herbania
35%
Draws
29%
Lanzarote
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Herbania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lanzarote lately — more wins on the board than Herbania.
  • Model gives Lanzarote a 29% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Herbania Clean Sheet 19%
Lanzarote Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herbania Lanzarote
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 10 12
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Herbania vs Lanzarote
0:0
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs Herbania
1:0
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs Herbania
0:0
Sep 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Herbania vs Lanzarote
1:1
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs Herbania
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herbania 28 / 100
Lanzarote 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herbania Lanzarote

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lanzarote Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Herbania scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Lanzarote has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Herbania remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Herbania VS Lanzarote
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Herbania

(Home)
10 May
Herbania
1 : 1
Atletico Paso
03 May
SD Tenisca
4 : 0
Herbania
25 Apr
Herbania
1 : 0
Real Union Tenerife
22 Apr
Herbania
1 : 1
Telde
18 Apr
Tamaraceite
4 : 1
Herbania
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Lanzarote

(Away)
19 Sept
Villaverde Norte
1 : 1
Lanzarote
13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1
San Miguel
06 Aug
Lanzarote
1 : 2
Arenas Getxo
10 May
Lanzarote
0 : 0
Real Union Tenerife
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1
Lanzarote
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)